NCAAF Public Betting Trends

Betting splits above are updated hourly; the data presented is an average of the public bets and public money from multiple North American and global sportsbooks.

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College Football Betting Trends

The 2023 college football season concludes with the CFP National Championship Game on Monday, January 8th. Some of the notable CFB public betting trends for Michigan vs Washington include:

• While the public has been on Washington, sharp money has come on Michigan in the CFP National Championship. The Wolverines are getting 49% of ATS handle and 98% of ML handle, with the betting line shifting from MICH -4.5 to -5.5.
• In terms of the game total, the “over” is unsurprisingly the public play. Bettors are putting 62% of bets and 53% of of the handle on the game going over the posted total of 56 points. These two teams, however, only combined for 41 total points in their last meetings (2021).

What are Consensus Picks and College Football Betting Trends?

Every bet placed on a college football game is tracked and entered into a system at your sportsbook of choice. Using all those transactions, bettors, analysts and fans alike can track trends based off the total number of bets placed and total amount of money bet on any game across the spread, moneyline or over/under total markets.

With that data, you can see the public consensus (as well as where the sharp money is) for every game before placing your bet.

How NCAAF Bet and Money Percentages Differ

Money percentages – or percent of the handle – refers to the total amount of money wagered on an event, often broken down by bet type.

The money percentage pools all the money wagered on any game together, first sorting it by the type of bet (moneyline, spread, or total points scored), and then breaks down what percentage of the handle is bet on each side.

Whichever side the handle is weighted to can signal the sharp action (if the amount of tickets on that side are low), or if that side is being heavily bet by the public (if the ticket percentage is high).

Bet percentages, meanwhile, are frequently referred to as “% of tickets” or “% of bets”. Tickets are just a term used for all the bets placed.

To get the bet percentage, you look at all the bets placed (regardless of the amount of money risked on each one), again, sorting first by the type of bet, and then look at the percentage of tickets on each side of the game.

This can help identify which side both high-stakes and low-stakes players are trending towards.

Noticing Sharp Action While Betting College Football

As broken down above, ticket percentage does not consider the amount risked on each ticket – it just counts each bet placed. If we compare the bet percentage and money percentage of the same team (for the same bet type), you’ll know something is up if they are not relatively similar.

For example, if Alabama has 78% of the tickets bet against the spread, but only has 50% of the money, we now know the bets being placed on Alabama are quite small – or the bets being placed on Ole Miss are quite large.

A noticeable difference between a team’s bet and money percentages can help signal sharp action. In order to calculate this, just subtract their bet percentage from their money percentage. If the result is a positive number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on this team. If the result is a negative number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on the other team.

While that’s not a 100% accurate formula to determine the sharp action, it can give you a general idea of where the money is.

College Football Public Betting FAQ