Can the Kansas City Chiefs make Super Bowl history? Not according to the people assigned the task of setting the 2025 Super Bowl odds.

And it’s the team that they just beat who are favored to rebound and win the big game.

After winning a second straight Super Bowl via their 25-22 overtime triumph over the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58, the Chiefs are set as the +750 second betting choice in the opening 2025 Super Bowl odds.

However, it’s the 49ers who are set as the +500 chalk to win the big game next season. But to do so, San Francisco will need to defy a long-running drought involving NFC clubs. No NFC team has come back to win the Super Bowl the year after losing the big game since the Dallas Cowboys in 1971.

By beating San Francisco, Kansas City became the eighth team in NFL history to win consecutive Super Bowls. The Chiefs are poised to become one of the greatest Super Bowl dynasties. They’ve played in four of the past five big games.

No squad has ever won the big game three years in a row. In fact, just two teams – the Miami Dolphins (1971-73) and Buffalo Bills (1991-94) – have managed to play in three or more successive Super Bowl games.

2025 NFL Super Bowl Odds

Beyond the 49ers and the Chiefs at +750, the third-favorites are the Baltimore Ravens, who are priced at +900. Baltimore is just ahead of the Buffalo Bills at +1000. Then you get two NFC teams

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Super Bowl Betting Trends

Recent Super Bowl history suggests that champions rarely come out of nowhere. There’s generally a recent run of success involving a Super Bowl championship squad.

THE @CHIEFS ARE SUPER BOWL LVIII CHAMPIONS! #SBLVIII pic.twitter.com/yqZUPrlcD1

— NFL (@NFL) February 12, 2024

Among the past 12 winners of the big game, 10 were involved in postseason play in the year prior to their Super Bowl win. Six of those clubs were in the conference championship game in the season before their Super Bowl win.

Just two teams – the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2021) and Philadelphia Eagles (2018) – won the big game the season following a playoff absence.

49ers Again the Team to Beat

San Francisco was the chalk to win Super Bowl 58 through the playoffs, but came up short.

With the same two teams set with the shortest odds, could a Super Bowl rematch be in the works? Probably not.

The anatomy of the game-winner. What a Super Bowl. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/WbGaPP39yV

— NFL (@NFL) February 12, 2024

While there have been eight Super Bowl rematches in the history of the game, including the 49ers and Chiefs (2020, 2024), it’s never happened in back-to-back seasons.

Oddsmakers Still Backing Bills

The Buffalo Bills continue to be the team that can always find a way not to win the Super Bowl. Yet in the Super Bowl odds, the Bills are yet again a top contender to win it all.

With talent like QB Josh Allen and WR Stefon Diggs, on the one hand, that love for the Bills is entirely understandable. But this is a group that has yet to show it can get over the hump and even find a way into the big game.

Buffalo hasn’t played in a Super Bowl game since 1994. The Bills and Minnesota Vikings, both 0-4, share the NFL record for most Super Bowl appearances without ever posting a victory.

Lions Not Getting Their Share

Head coach Dan Campbell has already told his team that they are winning the 2025 Super Bowl. Evidently, the people who set the odds didn’t get the memo.

At a betting line of +1200, the reigning NFC North champion Lions are the fifth betting choice to win it all next season. Detroit blew a 24-7 halftime lead and lost 34-31 at San Francisco in the NFC Championship Game. The Lions have never made it to a Super Bowl game in franchise history and haven’t won an NFL title since 1957.

Surprising Prices On Some 2023 Playoff Teams

The Green Bay Packers and Houston Texans were two of the surprise teams in the second half of the season as they made runs to secure playoff spots. But it hasn’t generated much love for either team in Super Bowl betting lines. You can access +2200 odds on both teams winning the big game in 2025.

Likewise, the Los Angeles Rams, another second-half success story of the season past, are opening with odds of +2800. That’s the same number being offered on the perennially woeful New York Jets and the ever underachieving Los Angeles Chargers.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6600) and Pittsburgh Steelers (+8000) are other 2023 playoff teams not being given much hope.

2025 Super Bowl Winner Pick:  Kansas City Chiefs (+750)

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The post Opening 2025 Super Bowl Odds – 49ers & Chiefs Favored to Win Super Bowl 59 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

There was a slim hope that the final 49ers vs Chiefs injury reports would bring better news for Chiefs starting left guard Joe Thuney. However, that isn’t the case.

All-Pro Thuney will miss the big game due to a pectoral injury. He’s the only starter on either team carrying an injury designation as the clock ticks down the final hours until kickoff for Super Bowl 58.

San Francisco is the 2-point chalk over Kansas City in the Chiefs vs 49ers odds. Kansas City is an NFL-best 3-0 against the spread as an underdog this season.

So far in the Chiefs vs 49ers public betting splits, underdog Kansas City is getting 70% of ATS handle and 74% of moneyline handle.

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Thuney Unlikely Participant for Chiefs

While there was some speculation that Thuney might be able to suit up for the Super Bowl, it turned out to be based more in hope than reality. He’s since been placed on IR. Thuney was originally injured in Kansas City’s NFL Divisional Round win at Buffalo. He’ll be missing his second straight game. 

Kadarius Toney is not expected to play today in Super Bowl LVIII, per @AdamSchefter pic.twitter.com/prYDTHhXe7

— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) February 11, 2024

Though he’s not listed as injured, there’s growing speculation that Chiefs WR Kadarius Toney won’t be playing on Super Bowl Sunday. He hasn’t seen any game action since Week 15. Previously listed as having a hip injury, there’s also been rumblings that Toney’s absence is due to personal reasons.

Kansas City activated RB Jerick McKinnon (groin) from IR and he’s been a full participant in practice this week. He’ll be a game-time decision. McKinnon has been out since December 17 and in actuality, has been used sparingly all season long.

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

Chiefs WR Rashee Rice tweaked an ankle at Thursday’s practice, but was a full participant in Friday’s practice. He’s not carrying any injury designation.

Kansas City’s defensive line depth is suddenly short-staffed. Both DT Derrick Nnadi (triceps) and DE Charles Omenihu were placed on IR this week. Omenihu tore his ACL in the AFC Championship Game win over Baltimore.

All Systems Go for 49ers

All three San Francisco starters who were in previous injury reports – TE George Kittle (toe), LDT Arik Armstead (foot/knee) and LB Oren Burks (shoulder) – were full participants in practice as this week wore on. That means Kittle could be worth bets in the 49ers vs Chiefs props.

George Kittle (toe) is off the injury report for this week.

Arik Armstead also off report. Both will play.

— lindsey ok (@lindseyyok) February 10, 2024

They’ve since had their injury designations removed, as has backup CB Ambry Thomas (ankle).

San Francisco 49ers Injury Report

DT Kalia Davis (ankle), currently on IR, has been a full practice participant this week.

How Could Injuries Affect Chiefs vs 49ers Betting Lines?

Thuney’s absence looms large. He’s a First Team All-Pro selection this season, Thuney has been a Pro Bowl selection each of the past two seasons. He was a starter for Kansas City’s first 19 games this season.

Nick Allegretti will step into Thuney’s role at LG. He’s a five-year veteran who’s started 14 games during five seasons with the Chiefs. That includes the AFC Championship Game against Baltimore and one regular-season game this season.

Toney scored a TD in last year’s Super Bowl win over the Philadelphia Eagles. Toney’s projected absence figures to make WR Skyy Moore’s activation from IR even more significant. Moore hasn’t played since injuring his knee December 17 against New England. He’s made 21 pass receptions for 244 yards and one TD this season.

Nnadi missed the past two games with his triceps injury. His loss leaves Mike Pennel Jr and Tershawn Watson as healthy reserve options at DT.

The 49ers are opting not to activate second-year DT Kalia Davis (ankle) from IR, even though he was a full participant in practice this week. San Francisco activated DE Alex Barrett and DT TY McGill from the practice squad for DL depth.

Get more Super Bowl 58 coverage from SBD here! 

• 49ers vs Chiefs Odds & Predictions
• The Best 49ers vs Chiefs Same-Game Parlay
• Latest Super Bowl MVP Odds
• Current Gatorade Odds & Betting Splits
• Super Bowl Betting Trends
• Super Bowl National Anthem Props
• Super Bowl Halftime Props
• How to Bet on the Super Bowl & the Best Super Bowl Promos

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The post San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs Final Inactive and Injury Report for the Super Bowl appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

When assessing the 49ers vs Chiefs Super Bowl 58 picks against the spread, the odds may be favoring San Francisco, but the betting trends are with Kansas City.

It’s the 49ers who are set as 2-point favorites over the Chiefs in the Super Bowl odds. However, San Francisco is 0-2 ATS during the NFL postseason. Meanwhile, Kansas City is a stellar 3-0 ATS.

The Chiefs covered and won outright as betting underdogs in their past two games. In the conference championship games, both underdogs covered.

Favorites are struggling to get the job done in this year’s NFL playoffs. The chalk is 4-8 ATS. That being said, the only away underdog to win outright during the past two rounds of the NFL postseason has been the Chiefs. And they’ve done it two games in a row.

Now, let’s check out our NFL Super Bowl picks against the spread.

49ers vs Chiefs Odds

Our Super Bowl ATS pick this week in the table above will feature a play on the Chiefs.

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Underdogs Dominant In Recent Super Bowl Games

Recent Super Bowl betting trends are leaning toward the underdog as well. In the past three big games, the underdog is 3-0 ATS. In two of those games, the underdog was an outright winner.

Taking it back a bit further, the underdogs have covered in nine of the past 12 Super Bowl games. Interestingly, the last favorite to cover was the Chiefs when they beat the 49ers in the 2020 big game. That also makes San Francisco the most recent underdog that failed to cover.

The underdog has won 6 of the last 8 Super Bowls with an AFC West team 👀

Super Bowl 57 (Chiefs beat the Eagles as 1.5-point dogs)

Super Bowl 55 (Bucs beat Chiefs as 3-point dogs)

Super Bowl 54 (Chiefs beat 49ers as 1.5-point favorites)

Super Bowl 50 (Broncos beat Panthers as… pic.twitter.com/8ZqaVg5Ovy

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) February 5, 2024

In each of the last five Super Bowl games in which the AFC squad took the field as the betting underdog, those teams are not only 5-0 ATS, four of the five also won the big game outright. Included in those five games was Baltimore’s 34-31 victory over San Francisco in 2013 as 4.5-point underdogs.

Best News for 49ers Is They Aren’t At Home

The Super Bowl is a neutral site game and that might be just fine with the 49ers. Home, sweet home hasn’t proven to be the case at all for San Francisco.

In their final six home games of the 2023-24 NFL season, the Niners were 0-6 ATS. As an away team this season, San Francisco is showing a much better 6-3 ATS mark.

Favored again in the Chiefs vs 49ers picks, oddly enough, San Francisco has teed up the football as the betting choice in all 19 games this season. Yet the 49ers have only been able to cover nine times.

In the past 11 Super Bowl games in which the NFC squad has been the betting favorite, their ATS record is a dismal 1-8-2. The 49ers are 0-2 ATS in their last two Super Bowl appearances. However, San Francisco is 4-2 ATS as a Super Bowl favorite.

Chiefs Are Underdog Perfection

Kansas City’s 17-10 AFC Championship Game win over the Ravens marked the fifth time in six games that the Chiefs have covered the spread. They’ve won outright the past two games as underdogs. Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes, favored to win his third award in the Super Bowl MVP odds, is 10-1-1 in his career as an underdog.

Kansas City is an NFL best 3-0 ATS as a betting underdog this season. In fact, the Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last six games when they weren’t the betting choice.

For the second consecutive season, the Kansas City Chiefs enter the Super Bowl as an underdog. But will it feel like an upset if Kansas City wins?@SandoNFL spoke with four NFL coaches to get their predictions ahead of the big game this year ⤵️https://t.co/EA9rHmFHu3 pic.twitter.com/MUqkM6Ay1V

— The Athletic (@TheAthletic) February 10, 2024

49ers vs Chiefs Picks Against the Spread

Last season, the reigning Super Bowl champion Chiefs won 38-35 as 1.5-point underdogs to the Philadelphia Eagles. Kansas City is 2-1 ATS as a Super Bowl underdog.

The Chiefs are also 1-0 ATS in neutral-site games this season. Kansas City beat Miami in a game played in Germany.

NFL ATS Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +2 (-110), 1 unit

• NFL ATS Playoff Record: 6-2

Get more Super Bowl 58 coverage from SBD here! 

• 49ers vs Chiefs Odds & Predictions
• The Best 49ers vs Chiefs Same-Game Parlay
• Latest Super Bowl MVP Odds
• Current Gatorade Odds & Betting Splits
• Super Bowl Betting Trends
• Super Bowl National Anthem Props
• Super Bowl Halftime Props
• How to Bet on the Super Bowl & the Best Super Bowl Promos

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The post 49ers vs Chiefs Super Bowl 58 Picks Against the Spread appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

It’s a Super Bowl rematch as the reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs try to win two big games in a row and take two decisions over the San Francisco 49ers. But we’re here to share the best San Francisco vs Kansas City same-game parlay for the big game here.

Kansas City beat San Francisco 31-20 in the 2020 Super Bowl game. It was the second successive Super Bowl loss for the Niners, who won each of their first five trips to the big game. The Chiefs have won three of their five Super Bowl appearances.

It’s the NFC champion 49ers who are set as 2.5-point favorites in the Super Bowl odds. Kickoff for the big game at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, February 11 is set for 6:30pm ET and you can catch the broadcast on CBS.

Speaking of big, you can be cashing in as a big winner on this same game parlay for the Super Bowl matchup between Kansas City and San Francisco. Need more info on how-to make a same-game parlay, we have you covered here too.

Chiefs vs 49ers Same-Game Parlay Picks

The first leg is for the 2.5-point underdog Chiefs to cover at -110 . Next, it’s expecting Kansas City RB Isiah Pacheco to score an anytime touchdown at a betting line of -130. Finally, take McCaffrey to also find the end zone on an anytime touchdown play at odds of -223. Odds as of February 10 at BetMGM.

Make sure to also check out our how to bet Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl player props article for some additional ideas for plays.

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The three-leg combination on this same-game parlay offers a betting line of +320. A successful $10 play would deliver a payday of $32.00.

Chiefs vs 49ers Same-Game Parlay Pick #1: Chiefs Point Spread

Being set as the underdog, the Chiefs have the 49ers right where they want them. Kansas City owns a perfect record as a betting underdog this season.

The Chiefs are 3-0 both straight up and against the spread when not the choice of the oddsmakers. In fact, KC is 6-0 ATS over the club’s past six games as an underdog.

In last year’s big game, Kansas City edged the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35 after kicking off as the 1.5-point underdog. The Chiefs are 2-1 SU and ATS as the underdog in Super Bowl games. Overall, underdogs are 3-0 ATS and 2-1 SU in the last three Super Bowls.

In the last five Super Bowls in which the NFC kicked off as the chalk, the NFC clubs are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS.

Kansas City vs San Francisco SGP Pick #2: Christian McCaffrey Anytime Touchdown

Likely to no one’s surprise, at DraftKings Sportsbook McCaffrey is the most bet on of any player in the Super Bowl anytime TD market. He’s proven to be a TD scoring machine since donning the red, white and gold of the 49ers.

Christian McCaffrey wins Offensive Player of the Year award.

CMC scored a TD in 17 straight games, tying Lenny Moore’s NFL record. pic.twitter.com/XuXxCieL6U

— Underdog NFL (@Underdog__NFL) February 9, 2024

In 37 games with San Francisco, McCaffrey has wound up breaking the plane of the goal line for six points on 33 occasions. He’s played six postseason games over his NFL career. In each of those games, McCaffrey has scored a TD.

In this year’s two playoff games for the 49ers, McCaffrey has accounted for two TDs in each of the games. Want one of the best Super Bowl promos to use this weekend? Get the DraftKings promo code here.

Chiefs vs 49ers Same-Game Parlay Pick #3: Isiah Pacheco Anytime Touchdown

He might not be getting the fanfare that is afforded to McCaffrey, but Pacheco is equally effective as an end zone magnet for the Chiefs. Over Kansas City’s past seven games, he’s scored a TD in every one of them.

Pacheco’s seven-game scoring streak began on November 26 in a road game against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium. That’s the same place he’ll be playing on Super Bowl Sunday. And he wound up with two TDs that day.

#IsiahPacheco #Isiah #Pacheco #touchdown #td pic.twitter.com/LkOUvmn9TR

— Ball In Sports Net (@BallInSportsNet) February 6, 2024

Pacheco has accounted for at least one TD in every game since. And he’s steadily become a bigger piece of the Kansas City offense. In three of the Chiefs’ past four games, he’s had a minimum of 25 touches.

The KC RB has TDs in each of his past four postseason games. That includes a one-yard rush for a score in last year’s Super Bowl game against the Eagles.

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The post The Best San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs Same-Game Parlay for Super Bowl 58 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Let’s face it, Super Bowl betting trends are almost as abundant in existence as are methods to wager on Sunday’s big game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers.

The question is, should you be listening to them and following these trends? And the best answer is . . . maybe?

In the following Super Bowl betting trends story, we’ll look at a variety of these patterns, from the kooky to the statistically consistent, and let you ponder them before deciding how you’re going to wager on the big game. And when it comes time to place those big game wagers, be sure to check out the best Super Bowl betting promos first.

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Winners Wear White

Based on the past two decades of Super Bowl history, the Chiefs are making an interesting wardrobe choice. By opting to go with their red jerseys, Kansas City is snubbing one of the more crazy Super Bowl trends.

Over the past 19 big games, the team wearing the white uniform is 16-3 straight up. However, there is some logic in what on the surface appears to be an illogical choice by Kansas City.

When the Chiefs faced the 49ers in the 2020 Super Bowl game, Kansas City wore red and won 31-21. In fact, in three Super Bowl appearances wearing their red jerseys, the Chiefs are 2-1 SU. However, the 49ers are also 2-1 SU when they wear their whites. Then again, that lone loss was to KC.

Chiefs Embrace Underdog Role

Kansas City is currently sitting as a 2-point underdog in the Super Bowl odds. Knowing the recent Super Bowl betting trends involving favorites, the Chiefs probably don’t mind this one bit.

For starters, KC is an NFL-best 3-0 against the spread as the betting underdog this season. In fact, the Chiefs have covered as an underdog in six successive games. They won last year’s Super Bowl game 38-35 over the Philadelphia Eagles as 1.5-point underdogs. Looking back at historical point spreads for the Super Bowl, KC is 2-1 SU and ATS as a betting underdog on Super Bowl Sunday.

Meanwhile, the 49ers must deal with the crutch that accompanies NFC favorites to the field for the big game. In the past 11 Super Bowls in which the NFC team kicked off as the favorite, those squads are a combined 1-8-2 ATS.

Totally Wild Super Bowl Betting Trends

If you’ve been listening to the pundits, the call on the total for the big game is to bet the under. This is understandable when you figure the game is matching the #2 (Kansas City) and #3 (San Francisco) defenses in the NFL. That suggests points could be at a premium. As well, the under has hit in four of the past five Super Bowls.

The under has hit in four of the last five Super Bowls 👀 pic.twitter.com/q3s8NPAr9G

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) February 9, 2024

The Chiefs, of course, play in the AFC West. And there’s a Super Bowl betting trend involving that division suggesting a completely different play on the total based on ATS and over/under trends. It’s calling for you to wager on the over. The total has gone over in nine of the last 12 Super Bowls involving a team from the AFC West.

Tailing the Coin Toss Trends

The coin toss is in essence a 50-50 proposition and that’s pretty much how it’s played out over the first 57 Super Bowl games. Tails is holding a 30-27 lead in the Super Bowl coin toss results.

Kansas City won the toss before last year’s big game with Philly and went on to win the game. That ended an eight-year losing skid for the coin toss winner.

Overall, the Chiefs are 3-0 SU in the big game when the coin toss comes up tails. KC is 0-2 SU when the toss winds up heads. On the other hand, prior to both 49ers Super Bowl losses, the coin flip wound up heads.

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McCaffrey, Pacheco Have Nose for Pay Dirt

Christian McCaffrey has proven to be a touchdown machine since San Francisco acquired the RB from the Carolina Panthers last season. He’s scored 33 TDs in 37 games for the 49ers.

In the NFL postseason, he’s been borderline virtually unstoppable. McCaffrey has scored a TD in each of his six career playoff games. He’s gone for a pair of TDs in both playoff games so far this year.

Just as much of a TD magnet of late has been Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco. Going back to Kansas City’s November 26 win over the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium, where Sunday’s big game is also being played, Pacheco has scored at least one TD in seven successive games.

If you’re looking to play an anytime TD prop on the big game, either of these guys look like safe bets. Perhaps even packaging them into a same-game parlay play wouldn’t be a bad strategy.

Reba Trends to Get It Done

There’s no better way to start a major sporting event than with an anthem singer who recognizes that nobody is tuning in or packing the stadium to see them. Reba McEntire is that kind of performer.

The National Anthem has gone OVER in four of the last five Super Bowls

Will Reba go Over 90.5 seconds on Sunday? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/wdSs9itZYE

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) February 9, 2024

In historical national anthem length, it’s unlikely that McEntire will beat Neil Diamond’s Super Bowl record of 62 seconds. However, do a little research and betting the country star to go under the total of 90.5 seconds seems a fairly solid wager in Super Bowl betting trends.

Studying a video of McEntire performing the Star Spangled Banner at a 1997 MLB game, she went note to note in 81 seconds. Even at a slower pace for a 1999 NFL game between the Dallas Cowboys and Miami Dolphins, she hit the finishing note in 90 seconds.

Betting On the Color Purple

There’s a lot of action on the color purple. No, we’re not talking about the 2023 remake of the 1985 Oprah Winfrey film.

Purple is trending in Super Bowl bets as the most likely color of Gatorade to be dumped over the head of the winning coach at the conclusion of the big game.

Looking at Super Bowl Gatorade color history, the Chiefs doused coach Andy Reid with purple Gatorade after last year’s win. However, when they beat the 49ers in 2020, orange was the color poured all about Reid.

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The post Super Bowl Betting Trends – Chiefs Unbeaten As Underdogs, NFC Dreadful As Favorites, McCaffrey, Pacheco On TD Binges appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Super Bowl Sunday is just around the corner. The Big Game is the most heavily wagered on sporting event each year, and the 2024 showdown between the reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers will be no exception. But perhaps you’re new to betting and aren’t certain about how to bet on the Super Bowl?

Sunday’s Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl is a rematch of the 2020 game won by Kansas City and is set to break records for the most wagers and money ever bet at online sportsbooks on one single event.

Last year, 50.4 million adults wagered a record $16 billion on the Big Game across all betting sites. This year, those numbers are expected to increase yet again.

If you still haven’t made your first Super Bowl wager, or aren’t sure where to start, don’t fret. Keep reading for a complete breakdown of how and where to bet on the Super Bowl. We’ll also cover the different types of wagers available and the best betting promotions.

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Ways to Bet On the Super Bowl

First off, let’s talk about the fundamentals of betting on the Super Bowl game. In the Chiefs vs 49ers picks, you can wager on which team will win, by how much they will win, and even simply how many points both teams will score.

This Super Bowl matchup delivers a plethora of betting options. Prop bets enable you to wager on outcomes within the game, such as a player’s rushing yardage, or which team will score first and even how they will score those points.

Suppose you don’t follow football, or perhaps you don’t even like the game. Not to worry. The beauty of Super Bowl betting is that they even write wagers for people like you.

Super Bowl novelty props cover events that have absolutely nothing to do with the game. How long will it take to complete the anthem? Which team will win the coin toss? There are even Gatorade odds covering what color of sports drink will be showered over the winning coach.

In the Super Bowl odds, there’s something for everyone to bet.

What is the Moneyline, Spread and Total for the Super Bowl?

The traditional methods for making a bet on the Super Bowl are the moneyline, the spread and the total.

With a moneyline bet, you’re making a straight wager on which team you think will win the game. What is the moneyline? Moneylines are based on a figurative $100 bet. Favorites are indicated by negative numbers, while underdogs are issued positive digits. Kansas City is a +110 underdog. If you bet $100 on the Chiefs, you’d get $210 if your bet cashed – $110 profit, plus the return of your $100 stake.

The spread is designed to balance wagering on the game. Points are laid by the favorite and given to the underdog.  What is the spread for the Super Bowl? For this game it is lined with San Francisco as a 2-point favorite. That means if you place a spread bet on the 49ers, you’ll need them to win the game by at least three points for your bet to cover.

Points Are Typically Scored in Super Bowls with the AFC West 👀 pic.twitter.com/crm5CdSwJ7

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) February 8, 2024

When betting the total, it doesn’t matter which team wins. It’s all about the points scored in the game. The Super Bowl total is set at 47.5 points. You bet on whether the combined score of the game will go over or under that total.

What are Super Bowl Props?

Quite simply, Super Bowl props are wagers on outcomes within the game. Types of Super Bowl props include the passing TD totals for Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes and the number of receptions made by 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey.

Those are player props. There are also game props, such as which team will kick the longest field goal, gain the most first downs and commit the most turnovers.

Latest Novelty Prop Betting Splits pic.twitter.com/ysoD9J9Xjj

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) February 7, 2024

You can also wager on what are known as Super Bowl novelty props. These can be game related, such as which coach will be shown first on the broadcast. Many of them are completely irrelevant to the Super Bowl game itself. For instance, you can bet on which song the featured act will opt to open with during the Super Bowl halftime show.

It’s easy to track all of the Super Bowl outcomes via our handy Super Bowl 58 printable props sheet.

How Do I Place a Bet on the Super Bowl

If you want to bet on the Super Bowl, you’re going to need to have an account with one of the best apps to bet on Super Bowl. The good news is opening that new account is relatively painless. The process can be completed in a matter of minutes.

At MGM sportsbook app, you’ll need to supply them with personal info such as your name, address, email address, phone number and date of birth. Generally speaking, you won’t need to upload any supporting documents to fund your account, place wagers, and make a withdrawal. BetMGM is one of a select group of operators with electronic verification software that doesn’t require your state-issued ID. And when you sign up you can take advantage of a great Bet $5 Get $158 in bonus bets by using promo code “SBD158”.

All of the top mobile sportsbook apps offer multiple ways to deposit, and the process can be done directly through your bank in a matter of minutes.

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Where Can I Bet on the Super Bowl Near Me?

There are currently 38 US states offering legal and regulated sports betting, including 30 that provide online and mobile sports wagering.

Three states will be offering legal and regulated sports betting on the Super Bowl for the first time this year. Kentucky, Maine and Vermont all launched sports betting since last year’s big game concluded. Launching on January 11, Vermont made it just under the wire in time to provide wagering on the big game. North Carolina is also launching this year, but not in time for Super Bowl Sunday.

Best Super Bowl Betting Promos

When you open a new account with a legal and regulated sportsbook, you’ll be able to take advantage of the promos they are offering. At Super Bowl time, the betting sites tend to sweeten up those offers and deliver some solid Super Bowl betting promos.

Two of the best offers connected to this year’s big game are being delivered by BetMGM and Bet365. The latest BetMGM sign up promo  SBD158  for new users enables you to claim a Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets Offer in February 2024 that covers your first wager with site credit if it loses.

At Bet365, they are offering new players a sweet welcome offer of Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets.

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The post How to Bet On the Super Bowl and Everything You Need to Know to Get the Best Super Bowl Promo appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

For the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs, the beauty of the two-week break between the conference championship games and Super Bowl 58 is that the downtime from game time offers the sick and wounded a chance to heal and to stay off of the 49ers vs Chiefs injury reports.

Still, even that length of rest doesn’t look like it’ll be enough to enable Chiefs offensive lineman Joe Thuney the opportunity to regain his health.

All-Pro Thuney appears to be the only starter unlikely to play in the big game. A pectoral injury is keeping the Chiefs starting LG from the practice field as Sunday’s 6:30pm ET kickoff looms nearer.

San Francisco is the 2-point chalk over Kansas City in the Chiefs vs 49ers odds. Kansas City is an NFL-best 3-0 against the spread as an underdog this season.

So far in the Chiefs vs 49ers public betting splits, underdog Kansas City is getting 82% of ATS handle and 70% of moneyline handle.

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Thuney Unlikely Participant for Chiefs

Thuney suffered his injury in Kansas City’s NFL Divisional Round win at Buffalo. He missed the AFC Championship Game triumph at Baltimore. Typically, his is the type of injury that requires 4-6 weeks to fully heal. 

Chiefs left guard Nick Allegretti practiced today in place of Joe Thuney, who has a pectoral injury. “I would probably bet towards Allegretti playing,” Chiefs head coach Andy Reid told pool reporter Peter King. “For Joe, it’s a strength thing. Right now, it’s not strong enough.”

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) February 8, 2024

Kansas City’s defensive line depth is also taking a hit. Both DT Derrick Nnadi (triceps) and DE Charles Omenihu were placed on IR this week. Omenihu tore his ACL in the win over Baltimore.

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

On a positive note, WR Skyy Moore (knee) was activated from IR on Wednesday and is available to play on Super Bowl Sunday.

49ers a Relatively Healthy Bunch

While both TE George Kittle (toe) and LDT Arik Armstead (foot/knee), two key starters, are showing as questionable for the Super Bowl and have been limited in practice, the latter development is actually good news. Last week, neither player was able to practice at all.

George Kittle said there's "no concern" regarding toe injury.

— Underdog NFL (@Underdog__NFL) February 2, 2024

LB Oren Burks (shoulder) is the third starter carrying an injury designation. He’s also been limited in practice, as has backup CB Ambry Thomas (ankle).

San Francisco 49ers Injury Report

DT Kalia Davis (ankle), currently on IR, has been a full practice participant this week.

How Could Injuries Affect Chiefs vs 49ers Betting Lines?

A First Team All-Pro selection this season, Thuney has been picked to play to each of the past two Pro Bowl games. He started the first 19 games of this season.

Nick Allegretti will step in at LG. The five-year veteran has started 14 games during five seasons with the Chiefs. That includes the AFC title game and one regular-season game this season.

Moore hasn’t played since injuring his knee December 17 against New England. He’s caught 21 passes for 244 yards and one TD this season. Currently on IR, RB Jerick McKinnon (groin) has been a full participant in practice. There’s a chance he could be activated for the big game.

Nnadi missed the past two games with his triceps injury. His loss leaves Tershawn Watson as the only healthy reserve option at DT.

Expectations are that all four of the 49ers who are listed as questionable will be good to go on Super Bowl Sunday. This is actually about as healthy as the 49ers have been all season long and for that matter, in recent memory.

In fact, 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan seems confident that Kittle and Armstead will both be full practice participants on Thursday.

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The post San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs First Injury Report for Super Bowl 58 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Kansas City Chiefs are seeking to defend their title against the San Francisco 49ers in this year’s Super Bowl matchup, but you’re likely simply looking for some easy Super Bowl bets to make.

A lock. A sure thing. While it’s important to remember that there are no guarantees in sports betting, do some line shopping and you’re going to come up with a few Super Bowl wagers that certainly seem more likely to cash than others.

Let’s take a look at some easy Super Bowl bets to make that should give you a mighty strong chance of ending up with more money in your wallet by the end of the big game.

Easy Super Bowl Bets

This Chiefs vs 49ers matchup sees San Fran favored by 2 points. Here’s what the latest Super Bowl 58 odds are showing. And don’t forget to check out our best NFL betting promos before placing any wagers on the big game.

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Easy Super Bowl Bets: Rashee Rice Over 6.5 Receptions

All season long, the Chiefs have been searching for a reliable, trustworthy WR and they appear to have unearthed that fellow in Rashee Rice. The rookie from SMU doesn’t make a lot of chunk yardage play, but he’s proven to be a reliable second option for QB Patrick Mahomes after All-Pro TE Travis Kelce.

Rashee Rice over or under 6.5 receptions in SBLVIII? 💰@davidhelman_ x @geoffschwartz x @chrisfallica

🎙: https://t.co/NdroCatSED pic.twitter.com/9h6yrIiWPv

— NFL on FOX Podcast (@NFLonFOXPod) February 7, 2024

There are a number of types of Super Bowl props you can bet on in the big game. Rice to go over his reception total of 6.5 is among the easy bets to make.

In the AFC Championship Game win over the Baltimore Ravens, Rice caught eight balls on nine targets for 46 yards. He also grabbed eight passes from 12 targets for 130 yards and a TD in the Wild Card Weekend triumph over Miami.

In fact, Rice has gone over his Super Bowl receptions total of 6.5 in six of the past nine games. He didn’t do it at all during his first nine games as an NFLer.

Easy Super Bowl Picks: Rashee Rice over 6.5 receptions -115 (365)

Easy Super Bowl Bets: Christian McCaffrey to Be MVP

If you’re of the belief that the favored 49ers are winning the Super Bowl, then you should be thinking about which 49ers player is the best bet to be MVP of the big game. And that search should stop at RB Christian McCaffrey.

Amazingly, you have to go back to the 1998 game to find a RB being named the Super Bowl MVP, when Denver’s Terrell Davis earned the honor. Oddsmakers are giving QB Brock Purdy (+200) the best chance to be Super Bowl MVP. You can grab solid +450 odds that McCaffrey will win the MVP award.

Terrell Davis was the last running back to win Super Bowl MVP (1997) 😳

Will Christian McCaffrey break the 27 year drought for RBs in the Super Bowl? pic.twitter.com/KYHJ7CMzWE

— TroyTV 📺 (@TroyBoyTheBeast) February 6, 2024

Purdy thinks McCaffrey should be the NFL regular-season MVP and he might just have a point. McCaffrey rushed for an NFL-leading 1,459 yards. He added an additional 564 yards in receptions. McCaffrey’s 21 TDs earned him a share of the NFL lead.

Through two playoff games, he’s rushed for 188 yards, caught 11 passes for 72 yards and scored four TDs.

Easy Super Bowl Picks: Christian McCaffrey Super Bowl MVP +450 (BetMGM)

Easy Super Bowl Bets: Travis Kelce to Have Most Receptions

Playoff Kelce is proving to be a monster for Kansas City and a reliable play among the best NFL player props. Against the Ravens in the AFC Championship Game, Kelce led all receivers with 11 catches for 161 yards and a TD.

Kelce led KC receivers with five catches, two for TDs, in the Divisional Round win at Buffalo. He caught seven balls in the Wild Card Weekend win over Miami. In three career Super Bowl games, Kelce has been on the receiving end of 22 passes. That averages out to 7.3 catches per game.

Easy Super Bowl Bet: Travis Kelce to have the most receptions +150 (DraftKings)

Where to Make Super Bowl Bets?

Any of the best sportsbook betting apps will provide you with the opportunity to place a wager on the Super Bowl game. And if you’re a new customer, you can sign up and gain an enticing welcome bonus offer.

For instance, the latest BetMGM promo code  SBD158  for new users enables you to claim a Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets Offer in February 2024 that covers your first wager with site credit if it loses. At Bet365, they are offering new players a sweet welcome offer of Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets.

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The post Easy Super Bowl Bets to Make This Weekend for San Francisco vs Kansas City appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Based on the public betting percentages on Super Bowl player props public betting at DraftKings Sportsbook, it appears that people are wagering on history repeating itself in the best NFL player props for the big game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers.

For the second successive Super Bowl, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes going over 1.5 touchdown passes is the most popular Super Bowl player prop. And once again, Chiefs TE Travis Kelce is the people’s choice to score the game’s first TD.

Let’s take a deeper look at how the public betting splits on the DraftKings app are falling on prop bets for the Super Bowl. And if you’re new to sports betting, why not give our handy guide to the types of Super Bowl props you can bet a gander?

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Mahomes Prop Again Dominating Super Bowl Public Betting

It’s certainly understandable why Mahomes is getting the love of the people in the best NFL player props. This will be his fourth Super Bowl game. In two of the three previous contests, he’s gone over 1.5 TD passes.

In fact, Mahomes has gone over 1.5 TD passes in seven of his last nine NFL postseason games. On the other hand, he’s accomplished this feat just once in three playoff games this season. DraftKings is currently offering -160 odds on Mahomes going over 1.5 TD passes.

It’s 49ers QB Brock Purdy holding down the spot as the second-most wagered Super Bowl player prop in terms of public betting. However, it’s Purdy’s legs, not his arm, that the people are backing. At a betting line of -125, the splits are going with Purdy continuing his successful playoff run. Or should that be runs?

BROCK PURDY RUNNING TOUGH 💪

(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/QuszlRTiqB

— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) January 29, 2024

The public betting is backing Purdy to go over 12.5 yards rushing in the Super Bowl. Purdy has certainly unveiled a ground game during the NFL postseason. He rushed for 14 yards in the NFL Divisional Round against Green Bay, and then exploded for 48 yards on five carries in the NFC Championship Game against Detroit.

Add to that the fact that the Kansas City defense is surrendering on average 21.1 yards per game rushing to QBs this season and the public love for this Purdy play is also easy to comprehend.

Public Betting McCaffrey to End Super Bowl Drought

The most recent RB to be named Super Bowl MVP was Terrell Davis of the Denver Broncos in 1998. Yeah, it’s been awhile. Which might make this a fun Super Bowl prop bets play.

Public betting is of the belief that this drought is due to end and that 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey is the perfect person to make it happen. Dual threat McCaffrey has accounted for four TDs in this year’s playoffs. He’s scored 33 TDs in 37 games with San Francisco. In public opinion, McCaffrey should be named regular-season MVP.

Christian McCaffrey in 2 games this postseason:

🏈 37 carries for 188 yards
🏈 7 catches for 72 yards
🏈 4 TD pic.twitter.com/br7718gi7o

— NFL on DAZN (@NFLonDAZN) February 5, 2024

In Super Bowl player props public betting on the Super Bowl MVP, McCaffrey at +475 is pulling 21% of handle and 21% of bets. Two-time Super Bowl MVP Mahomes is also getting 21% of handle, but just 14% of bets.

Chiefs TE Kelce is the only other player in double digits (16% of handle, 14% of bets). No TE has ever been awarded Super Bowl MVP.

People Betting Kelce to Score Swiftly

At odds of +650, Kelce is nonetheless getting the most action in public betting splits as the Super Bowl’s first TD scorer. He’s generating 25% of handle and 24% of bets.

Though he’s scored TDs in two of his three Super Bowl appearances, Kelce has never scored the first TD of a Super Bowl game. He did catch a TD pass for Kansas City’s first TD of last year’s big game.

McCaffrey (+340) is the second betting choice in this market. He’s grabbing 15% of handle and 16% of bets. At -225, the 49ers RB is the top choice in the public betting splits to score an anytime TD. He’s also drawing the most action at +225 to score 2+ TDs in the Super Bowl game.

Wagering on TD scorers are common Super Bowl prop bets. Check out our outline of what is a TD prop bet to help with your best prop bets for Super Bowl Sunday while you’re making your bets at the top mobile sportsbook apps.

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The post Super Bowl Player Props Public Betting – See How the Public Is Betting the Top 49ers vs Chiefs Player Props appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

There are any number of game props available for wagering on Super Bowl 58 between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.  This contest is pitting the #2 (Kansas City) and #3 (San Francisco) defenses in the NFL this season, so scoring could be at a premium. That certainly might impact the way you’ll be playing Super Bowl game props.

In two of three playoff games, the Chiefs have held the opposition to 10 points or less. The 49ers haven’t proven to be as stingy, allowing an average of 26 points over two postseason games.

Oddsmakers are establishing the NFC champion 49ers as 2-point favorites over the AFC Champion Chiefs in the odds to win the Super Bowl. The same two teams met in the 2020 Super Bowl. Kansas City won that game 31-20.

Click one any of the icons below to jump to the Super Bowl game prop section you’re most interested in and get ready to place some Super Bowl prop bets. If you’re looking for make specific prop bets on individual players in the game such as Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce, or San Francisco’s Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel, or any of the other stars suiting up in this Super Bowl game, then you’ll want to check out our Super Bowl player props. There’s also separate categories for Super Bowl halftime props and Super Bowl commercial props.

When seeking out the best betting app for football, finding odds on a wide variety of game props is a big check mark in their favor. And if you’re new to wagering on sports and want to learn a little more about game props, check out our Super Bowl prop bets explained guide.

Kickoff for Super Bowl 58 at Allegiant Field is set for 6:30 on Sunday, February 11. CBS is carrying the broadcast of the game.

Touchdown | Scoring | Gameplay | Kicking | Race to X Points | Halftime/ Full-time | Winning Margin

Super Bowl 58 Touchdown Props

All odds taken Feb. 4 from BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook, Bet365 Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook. Check out all of the big game betting promotions offered by these leading sites.

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Can McCaffrey Double Down Again?

In both playoff games so far this season, San Francisco RB Christian McCaffrey has scored a pair of touchdowns. Can he turn two again on Super Bowl Sunday? He’s always a solid bet as a Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer.

McCaffrey has accounted for multiple TDs in five games this season. He’s the best bet to do it in the big game. Looking to historical Super Bowl odds, in last year’s game, Eagles QB Jalen Hurts scored three TDs against the Chiefs.

This one figures to be a low-scoring affair featuring two strong defensive units. As much as it will be enticing to bet McCaffrey to account for 2+ TDs, take the price on no.

Pick: No player to score 2+ TDs (+135)

Chiefs vs 49ers Scoring Props

Chiefs Getting Started Early

In all three of their playoff games this season, Kansas City has produced a first-drive touchdown. Meanwhile, the 49ers have allowed the other team to score on both of their first possessions in San Francisco’s two postseason contests. Green Bay kicked a field goal and Detroit scored a TD.

In three of the past six Super Bowl games, there’s been a first-possession TD recorded. In two of those – last year’s Chiefs vs Eagles game and Super Bowl 52 between the Eagles and Patriots – both teams scored a TD on their first possession.

Pick: Either team to score TD on opening drive (+116)

Super Bowl Gameplay Props

Team Scoring Last in Super Bowl Is Best

This just might be the biggest lock of all Super Bowl prop bets. In each of the past 18 big games, the team to get on the scoreboard last was the one that lifted the Vince Lombardi Trophy. You have to go back to Super Bowl 39, when the Philadelphia Eagles registered a late TD in their 24-21 loss to the New England Patriots, to find an instance when the losing side scored last.

Harrison Butker on his game winning kick to win the Super Bowl. #ChiefsKingdom #SBLVII pic.twitter.com/og3mWhc924

— 610SportsKC (@610SportsKC) February 13, 2023

The Chiefs have scored last in each of their Super Bowl wins with Patrick Mahomes at QB. Meanwhile, the 49ers haven’t scored last in their two most recent appearances in the big game, and lost both times.

Pick: Team that scores last wins game (-205)

Super Bowl 58 Kicking Props

Will 49ers Run Fake Punt?

Twice this season, the Chiefs were victimized for big yardage off of fake punt plays. In their season-opening loss to the Detroit Lions, Detroit coach Dan Campbell called for a direct snap to LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin on their own 17-yard line against the Chiefs and it worked for a first down.

In Week 5, Minnesota Vikings RB Ty Chandler scampered 15 yards on fourth-and-two via fake punt to record another first down against Kansas City.

FAKE PUNT WORKS! @Vikings

📺: #KCvsMIN on CBS
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus https://t.co/LxW25sxPWA pic.twitter.com/6vhvGWwcqf

— NFL (@NFL) October 8, 2023

The 49ers ran a fake punt of their own in Week 14 against the Seattle Seahawks. Punter Mitch Wisnosky rambled 30 yards on the play. However, the gain was wiped out by offsetting penalties.

Pick: Yes there will be a fake punt (+920)

Super Bowl 58 Race to X Points Odds

Slow starts have proven to be a trademark of the 49ers this postseason. San Francisco trailed Detroit 24-7 at halftime of the NFC Championship Game. They were down 13-7 and 21-14 to Green Bay in the NFL Divisional Round Playoffs.

That bodes well for the Chiefs, who’ve been the first to 15 points in two of their three playoff games.

Pick: Chiefs first to 15 points (+115)

Super Bowl Red Zone Props

They should issue a red zone red alert when the 49ers possess the ball inside the other team’s 20-yard line. They’ve been the NFL’s most productive red zone team all season long, and have launched that success rate into the stratosphere during postseason play.

Through the 2023 NFL season, San Francisco scores a TD on 68.49% of red-zone possessions. Over the last three games, the 49ers are finding the end zone at an 88.89% success rate. During their NFC Championship Game rally to beat the Detroit Lions, the Niners scored TDs on 80% of their red zone ventures.

Pick: 49ers Red Zone TD % over 67.5% (+180).

Winning Margin Odds for Super Bowl 58

Both of these teams are winning tight games during the NFL postseason. In each of their playoff games, the 49ers were victors by the exact margin of three points. Over the last two weeks, Kansas City won by three and seven points.

Logically, expect another close game to be played on Super Bowl Sunday.

Pick: Chiefs to win by 1-6 points (+310)

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The post Super Bowl 58 Game Props – Odds on Winning Margin, First Scoring Play, Total TDs and More appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

There’s plenty of interest in the octopus odds at this year’s Super Bowl game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers and it has nothing to do with purchasing some calamari at one of the concession stands.

History was made in last year’s big game when Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen Hurts recorded the first octopus in Super Bowl history. The betting odds of it happening then were +1400 and the same betting line is being offered on an octopus occurring in this year’s game.

What’s an octopus? Should you bet on it? Have either the Chiefs or 49ers recorded one this season?

Read on to find out all this and more.

Will There Be a Super Bowl Octopus?

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The 49ers are currently set as 2-point favorites over the Chiefs in the latest Super Bowl odds.

What Is an Octopus Bet In Sports Betting?

In the NHL, there is an octopus tradition. When the Detroit Red Wings make the Stanley Cup playoffs, fans throw octopus on the ice. This ritual started in the 1950s, when it took eight wins to capture the Cup. The eight tentacles of octopus represented those eight wins, or so legend has it.

An NFL octopus is an entirely different animal. In 1994, the league introduced the option to go for a two-point conversion following a touchdown. An octopus occurs when a player scores a TD, and also scores the ensuing two-point conversion for a total of eight points.

It’s only been a recent development that an octopus wager is being included in the vast array of types of Super Bowl props surrounding Super Bowl Sunday.

Super Bowl Octopus Odds

There have been more Super Bowl games played with the chance to record an octopus (29) than in the pre-octopus era (28). Yet it’s only happened once in those 29 games. That works out to a 3.448% chance of the octopus occurring on Super Bowl Sunday.

Going into last year’s big game, the chances of it happening seemed to be better. Both the Chiefs (Patrick Mahomes) and Eagles (Hurts) had a player record an octopus during regular-season play in 2022. The elusive Hurts certainly was the type of player capable of doing it again, and as it turned out, he would in fact be the player who broke the octopus goose egg.

I just wanna know who getting the octopus in this year #SuperBowl pic.twitter.com/ZBwzaxKq3R

— Marty Chamberlain (@party_marty13) January 29, 2024

This season, though, neither team playing in the Super Bowl has recorded an octopus during the 2023 regular season or playoffs. San Francisco hasn’t even attempted the two-point play.

Mahomes scored his octopus on November 6, 2022 against the Tennessee Titans. Christian McCaffrey is the only 49ers player with an octopus on his resume. He recorded his eight-point play while a member of the Carolina Panthers on October 27, 2019, oddly enough, against the 49ers.

Both players ran for their TDs and for their two-point conversions.

Should You Bet the Octopus in Super Bowl 58?

In 272 NFL regular-season games this season, 11 octopus scores were recorded. That works out to a 4.044% chance of it happening. Through 12 postseason games, there’s not been an octopus.

Over the course of NFL history, the octopus has happened seven times during postseason play.

Jalen Hurts scored the first octopus in Super Bowl history 🐙 (8 points)

Touchdown (6 points) immediately followed by a 2 point conversion

He also tied the SuperBowl rushing touchdown record.pic.twitter.com/VQd9nI4mv0

— Adam Kahle 🥬 (@adamkahle) February 13, 2023

If you want to place a small stipend on an octopus occurring at your choice of Super Bowl betting apps – no more than $5-$10 – then go ahead. The potential return might make it worth the risk.

Let’s be brutally honest, though. The chances of seeing an octopus in this year’s big game are only slightly better than the chances of you seeing an octopus en route to the game.

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The post Octopus Odds for 2024 Super Bowl – What’s an ‘Octopus’ & Should You Bet It? appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Super Bowl 58 odds have been moving steadily toward the underdog Kansas City Chiefs and away from the favored San Francisco 49ers since the opening odds on the game first dropped, which had conspiracy theorists nodding in agreement.

The tin foil hat types are espousing a theory that the entire 2023 NFL season is rigged for Kansas City to win the Super Bowl. The love affair between Kansas TE Travis Kelce and pop star Taylor Swift? It’s a sham, all part of a set up to get the Chiefs to the Super Bowl so that pro-Democrat Swift can stump for President Biden in front of the largest single-event TV audience in the USA.

No, we are not making that up. They are making that up, and there’s been a money wrench thrown into their theory. After falling to just a 1-point favorite, the 49ers have lengthened back to be the 2-point chalk to win the big game in the latest Super Bowl odds.

Current Super Bowl Odds

The 49ers are -130 moneyline favorites in the NFL odds, giving them a 56.52% implied win probability. The total is set at 47.5 points. Four of the last five Super Bowl games have gone under.

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Odds from the MGM Sportsbook app. Use the latest BetMGM promo code SBD158  for new users to claim your Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets Offer in February 2024 that covers your first wager with site credit if it loses! This BetMGM bonus is one of the best NFL betting bonuses to use for the NFL playoffs!

Kickoff for the 2024 Super Bowl game at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, February 11, is set for 6:30pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by CBS, as well as by DAZN in Canada.

Plenty of Super Bowl Line Movement Already

It’s only been five days since the Super Bowl 58 matchup was confirmed. In that short time frame, the betting line for the game has shifted three times.

The spread for this Chiefs vs 49ers matchup opened at San Francisco -2.5. However, it quickly shortened to 49ers -1.5. By Monday, Kansas City was only a 1-point underdog. Tuesday, though, it jumped back to 49ers -2.

Ready for a show in Vegas. #SBLVIII https://t.co/gxOWYyGWk3

— Super Bowl (@SuperBowl) January 29, 2024

In past Super Bowl games when the spread has been two points or shorter, the outcomes are split right down the middle. Favorites are 3-0, while underdogs have both covered and won outright three times.

Kansas City is 2-1 ATS as a Super Bowl underdog, and the Chiefs won outright in both of their successes. After losing the first Super Bowl game 35-10 to Green Bay as 14-point underdogs, the Chiefs came back to whip Minnesota 23-7 as 12-point underdogs in Super Bowl 4. Last year, KC rallied to beat Philadelphia 38-35 as 1.5-point underdogs.

As a betting favorite in the big game, San Francisco is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS.

Public Betting Going to Kansas City

When it comes to NFL public betting on the big game, the people are in a Fats Domino frame of mind. They’re going to Kansas City.

preliminary lunar analysis certainly favors the chiefs.

the day of the super bowl is a waxing crescent moon & the chiefs are 19-1 in the last 5 yrs. under waxing crescent conditions.

by far their best moon phase pic.twitter.com/nBzVnJ204S

— Jay Cuda (@JayCuda) February 1, 2024

It’s the Chiefs getting 76% of handle and 83% of bets in the spread splits. Kansas City is also dominating the moneyline splits, generating 63% of handle and 66% of bets.

Underdogs have gone 3-0 ATS in the past three Super Bowls and 9-3 over the last 12 big games. AFC underdogs are on 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU runs.

Super Bowl 58 Prediction

Fading the public is a popular betting trend, but in this instance, the people just might know what they’re doing. Since the bright lights of postseason play began to shine, so have the Chiefs. They look like a completely different team to the one that was approaching the regular season seemingly with a level of indifference.

There used to be a theory that you don’t bet against Tom Brady in the playoffs. Since Brady is retired, the new theory must be don’t bet against KC QB Patrick Mahomes in the postseason. In fact, of his three playoff losses, two came against Brady.

It’s hard to imagine San Francisco QB Brock Purdy outdueling Mahomes on football’s biggest stage.

Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +2 (-110)

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The 2024 Super Bowl will take place on February 11th, and there’s no shortage of ways to bet on the game. With online sportsbooks releasing a plethora of different odds for 49ers vs Chiefs, it can feel overwhelming trying to make a simple wager.

Betting on the Super Bowl can be pretty straightforward if you know where to look and how to bet. To help you out, we’ve identified a few easy Super Bowl bets that offer value based on implied probability.

Under our Super Bowl picks, you’ll find some useful information such as how much money you can win betting on the Super Bowl and where to make these simple Super Bowl bets.

Super Bowl Safe Bets

Let’s look at some potential Super Bowl safe bets for this Chiefs vs 49ers matchup that sees San Fran favored by 2 points and what the latest Super Bowl 58 odds are showing. And don’t forget to check out our best NFL betting promos before placing any wagers on the big game.

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Suepr Bowl Picks: Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD

In preparation to play the 49ers, every NFL defensive coordinator derives their game plan around the premise of containing San Francisco RB Christian McCaffey. And almost every one of them watches while their defense fails to complete this task.

The 49ers acquiring McCaffrey last season from the Carolina Panthers is looking as though it will go down in NFL history as one of the most lopsided trades in the annals of the league. A dual threat as both a runner and pass catcher, in 37 games for the 49ers, McCaffrey has accounted for 33 touchdowns.

Since joining the 49ers, Christian McCaffrey has been a powerhouse with remarkable stats:

– 650 touches
– 2,631 yards on the ground
– 1,161 yards receiving
– A total of 38 touchdowns

In this season's playoff performances:
– In the Divisional Round, he tallied 128 yards,… pic.twitter.com/4AiKownype

— OutOfSightSports🚀™️ (@OOSSports) January 31, 2024

McCaffrey’s innate ability to break tackles frequently turns two-yard gains into seven-yard runs. As he wears on a defense, eventually, one of those runs becomes a 40-yard chunk play and often, a TD.

He’s proven to be money in the playoffs. McCaffrey has found the end zone in each of his six career NFL postseason games. He’s ramping it up even more this season. McCaffrey scored twice in the NFL Divisional Round win over Green Bay and two more times in San Francisco’s NFC Championship Game rally against Detroit.

He’s given an implied probability of 68.05% to score a Super Bowl TD.

Safe Super Bowl Picks: Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD Scorer -213 (BetMGM)

Super Bowl Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Fourth Quarter Moneyline

Both of Kansas City’s Super Bowl wins with Patrick Mahomes at QB have been fashioned via thrilling fourth-quarter comebacks.

Last season against the Eagles, KC entered the fourth quarter down 27-21. Mahomes threw TD passes to Kadarius Toney and Skyy Moore, while Harrison Butker kicked a game-winning field goal for a 38-35 victory. The Chiefs won the fourth quarter by a 17-8 margin.

In 2020 vs the 49ers, San Francisco was leading 20-10 entering the final quarter of regulation time. Mahomes tossed TD passes to Travis Kelce and Damien Williams and then Williams ran for a TD. KC won the game 31-20 thanks to a 21-0 fourth-quarter margin.

At -105 odds, the Chiefs are given a 51.22% implied probability of winning the fourth quarter in this year’s big game.

Safe Super Bowl Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Fourth Quarter Moneyline -105 (Bet365)

Super Bowl Picks: Travis Kelce Over 70.5 Receiving Yards

Chiefs TE Kelce has kicked it into overdrive since the NFL switch flipped to the postseason. He’s set with a receiving yardage total for the Super Bowl of 70.5 yards. At odds of -110, this bet is given an implied probability of 52.38% of cashing.

How do you stop Travis Kelce?

This is the best answer I have ever heard.

Luke Kuechly on @UpAndAdamsShow. pic.twitter.com/ZywXK7MhP1

— Kay Adams (@heykayadams) January 31, 2024

Kelce has exceeded that number in all three of Kansas City’s playoff games. In the AFC Championship Game win over Baltimore, he complied 116 yards in receptions. He went for 75 yards in the Divisional Round against Buffalo and 71 on Wild Card Weekend facing Miami.

In fact, Kelce has gone over that number in each of KC’s last 12 playoff games and in two of the three Super Bowl games in which he’s played.

Safe Super Bowl Picks: Travis Kelce over 70.5 Receiving Yards -110 (FanDuel)

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The appointment of Bill Vinovich to referee Super Bowl 58 between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers is only serving to add another layer of intrigue to this rematch of the 2020 Super Bowl. Vinovich was also in charge of that game when the Chiefs beat the 49ers 31-20.

The Chiefs are set as 1.5-2 point underdogs to the 49ers for the big game. In Vinovich’s first Super Bowl game, between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks, the Patriots won outright, covering as 1-point underdogs. AFC teams are 2-0 straight up and against the spread in the two Super Bowls worked by Vinovich.

Referee Bill Vinovich Super Bowl History

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If you’re looking to wager on the Super Bowl, check out the MGM Sportsbook app. Use the latest BetMGM promo code SBD158  for new users to claim your Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets Offer in January 2024 that covers your first wager with site credit if it loses! This BetMGM bonus is one of the best NFL betting promos to use for the NFL playoffs.

Kickoff for the 2024 Super Bowl game at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, February 11, is set for 6:30pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by CBS, as well as by DAZN in Canada.

Who Is Bill Vinovich?

Along with working as an NFL referee, Vinovich, 62, also officiates college basketball. He’s been an NFL official for two decades and will become the eighth NFL official to referee three Super Bowl games.

He started as a back judge in 2001 and was promoted to referee three years later. However, after being diagnosed with a heart condition in 2007, Vinovich stepped away from the field and became an NFL replay official. Given a clean bill of health in 2012, he returned to his work as an NFL referee.

Joining Vinovich in the Super Bowl 58 officiating crew are are umpire Terry Killens, down judge Patrick Holt, line judge Mark Perlman, field judge Tom Hill, side judge Allen Baynes, back judge Brad Freeman and replay official Mike Chase. Perlman and Hill are the only others with previous Super Bowl experience.

Vinovich the Under King

Among NFL referees, no one’s games go under more often than Vinovich. The under has hit in 100 of the 169 games he has officiated during his NFL career. That’s the highest under rate of any active NFL referee. Seven of his last nine postseason games went under.

He’s also known for keeping his yellow flag in his pocket. Crews headed by Vinovich have called the fewest penalties on average in six of the past eight seasons. In two of the past three seasons, his crews averaged fewer than 10 penalties per game.

There were 12 penalties in the Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl officiated by Vinovich.

NFL Referee Familiar to Chiefs

The 2020 Super Bowl is one of 22 Chiefs games that Vinovich has refereed over the course of his NFL officiating career. The Chiefs are 5-2 straight up in the last seven games they’ve played with Vinovich in charge.

He didn’t work a single Kansas City game during the 2023 NFL regular season or playoffs.

49ers Don’t Fare Well With Vinovich In Charge

Vinovich was on the whistle for one San Francisco game this season. That was in Week 16 when the 49ers dropped a 33-19 home-field decision to the Baltimore Ravens. It dropped San Francisco’s record to 2-4 SU in the last six games that Vinovich has been the referee.

The receiver extends his arm and creates separation while the ball is in the air, therefore it is offensive pass interference. – AL#SBLIV pic.twitter.com/hxAvggDqhS

— NFL Officiating (@NFLOfficiating) February 3, 2020

The 49ers faithful still hold grudges against Vinovich for their 2020 Super Bowl loss to the Chiefs. Especially galling to them was a late first-half offensive pass interference call on San Francisco TE George Kittle that wiped out a 42-yard gain.

In the 2020 Super Bowl, the 49ers were flagged five times for 45 yards. The Chiefs were penalized four times for 24 yards.

Vinovich Remembered for 2018 NFC Championship Blunder

The Los Angeles Rams went to the 2019 Super Bowl, much to the chagrin of New Orleans Saints fans. Late in regulation of LA’s 26-23 overtime victory in the NFC Championship Game, Rams CB Nickell Robey-Coleman clearly interfered with Saints WR Tommylee Lewis, but there was no flag on the play. Vinovich was the referee for that game.

4 years ago today, the #Saints suffered the biggest non-call in playoff history on the NFC Championship.#Rams CB Nickell Robey-Coleman committed unpenalized DPI on WR Tommylee Lewis near the end of regulation.

The Rams went on to win 26-23 in overtime.pic.twitter.com/uEhv5EP9Vj

— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) January 20, 2023

Saints supporters refer to the play as the NOLA No-Call. They even organized a petition to have Vinovich and his crew from that game fired. The petition collected almost 150,000 signatures but made no impact with the NFL.

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It’s a Super Bowl rematch as the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs face the San Francisco 49ers. The Chiefs also won the 2020 Super Bowl, beating the 49ers 31-20. Let’s break down the top opening Super Bowl 49ers vs Chiefs props for the big game that is early two weeks out.

Many of the protagonists from that winning KC team – QB Patrick Mahomes and TE Travis Kelce, for instance – are still suiting up for the Chiefs. There’s new blood representing the 49ers in this matchup, including QB Brock Purdy and RB Christian McCaffrey, who will both be playing in their first Super Bowl.

Should any of this information be affecting your choices when it comes to the opening Super Bowl player props? Let’s take a look at that and make our best Super Bowl prop bets online.

49ers vs Chiefs Player Props

The passing TD prop for both QBs is set at 1.5. The over on Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is set at -135. There’s +100 odds offered on the under for 49ers QB Brock Purdy. The over/under for the game is 47.5 in the NFL odds. FOX is carrying the broadcast. San Francisco is set as 1-point favorites in the Chiefs vs 49ers odds.

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Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. If you already have a DraftKings account, check out the BetMGM Sportsbook app. Use the latest BetMGM promo code SBD158  for new users to claim your Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets Offer in January 2024 that covers your first wager with site credit if it loses! This BetMGM bonus is one of the best offered at US betting sites to use for the NFL playoffs!

BetMGM is currently offering a Lion’s Boost on both QBs in this game. Bet on Purdy and Mahomes both throwing for over 250 yards at boosted odds of +260.

49ers vs Chiefs Props #1: Travis Kelce Receptions

Chiefs TE Kelce has rediscovered his All-Pro form in the NFL postseason. In three games, Kelce has caught 23 passes from 27 targets. He had 11 receptions in the AFC Championship Game and seven catches on Wild Card Weekend.

#PFN365 Game Changer of the Week: #Chiefs TE Travis Kelce

➡️ 11 targets
➡️ 11 receptions
➡️ 116 receiving yards
➡️ 1 TD

With T-Swift in attendance, Kelce put on a show❗ #ChiefsKingdom | #NFL pic.twitter.com/hKT0pvvLQM

— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) January 29, 2024

Kelce is set at 6.5 for his Super Bowl receptions total. In three previous Super Bowls, he’s gone over that number once. In last year’s big game, Kelce caught 10 passes. He had exactly six receptions in each of his other two Super Bowl appearances. Take the over on Kelce’s receptions as one our early beat Super Bowl props.

• 49ers vs Chiefs Prop Picks: Travis Kelce under 6.5 Receptions +124 (1 unit)  

49ers vs Chiefs Props #2: Brock Purdy Rushing Yards

San Francisco QB Purdy has found his running legs in the NFL postseason. He rushed for 14 yards in the NFL Divisional Round against Green Bay, and then exploded for 48 yards on five carries in the NFC Championship Game against Detroit.

Brock Purdy generated a career-high +10.6 EPA on scrambles, picking up a total of six first downs.

Purdy on Scrambles (NFC Championship)

🔹 Rushing: 3 carries, 52 yards, 3 first downs
🔹 Passing: 3/4, 41 yards, 3 first downs

Powered by @awscloud pic.twitter.com/e2bggFELNj

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 29, 2024

It’s the first time all season, he’s gone over the rushing total of 10.5 yards set for the Super Bowl. Purdy has bettered that total in six of 19 games this season and has twice done so in successive games. And the Chiefs defense has given up the fourth-most rushing yardage to QBs this season.

• 49ers vs Chiefs Prop Picks: Brock Purdy over 10.5 Rushing Yards -120 (1 unit)  

49ers vs Chiefs Touchdown Scorer Props

San Francisco RB Christian McCaffrey is given the shortest odds in the Super Bowl anytime TD odds for this game of -220. He’s also the +380 chalk in the first TD market for Chiefs vs 49ers picks.

49ers vs Chiefs Props #3: Christian McCaffrey Anytime Touchdown

A McCaffrey anytime TD is to NFL props what overhyped pre-game shows and raining post-game confetti are to the Super Bowl game – a veritable guarantee to happen.

In 37 games with the 49ers, McCaffrey has scored 33 TDs. McCaffrey has never failed to register a TD during an NFL postseason game. This postseason, he’s scored twice each against the Packers and the Lions. It’s not the greatest price at -220, but regardless, take the money as he runs into the end zone yet again.

49ers vs Chiefs Prop Picks: Christian McCaffrey Anytime Touchdown Scorer -220 (1 unit)

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There’s a curious juxtaposition at work in the latest Super Bowl MVP odds. The San Francisco 49ers are the 1-point favorites to beat the Kansas City Chiefs in the big game, but it’s Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes who is the current +120 chalk to be named Super Bowl MVP.

In the rich lore of the Super Bowl game, which extends back for more than 50 years, just one player from a losing team – Dallas Cowboys LB Chuck Howley in the 1971 Super Bowl game – has been awarded the MVP while playing for the losing team.

Mahomes is already a two-time Super Bowl MVP. However, both of his MVP wins came following Kansas City Super Bowl victories.

Let’s take a look at the contenders and a couple of sleepers in the Super Bowl MVP odds.

Super Bowl MVP Odds

San Francisco QB Brock Purdy (+220) and RB Christian McCaffrey (+450) are the only other players with  odds shorter than +1000 in the Super Bowl MVP odds. Chiefs TE Travis Kelce is at +1300.

Odds as of January 29th, 2024 at the BetMGM Sportsbook app. Use the latest BetMGM promo code SBD158  for new users to claim your Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets Offer in January 2024 that covers your first wager with site credit if it loses! This BetMGM bonus is one of the best NFL sportsbook bonus codes to use for the NFL playoffs!

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Mahomes Poised to Make Super Bowl MVP History

Last season, Mahomes won the Super Bowl MVP after also copping regular season NFL MVP odds. He was the first player to do so since Rams QB Kurt Warner in 1999-2000. Coupled with the Super Bowl MVP he captured after Kansas City beat San Francisco in the 2020 big game, he’s already among seven players to win that award multiple times.

Patrick Mahomes is already a top __ QB of all time? pic.twitter.com/H05bxRj0Da

— PFF (@PFF) January 29, 2024

Should he capture the Super Bowl MVP again this year, Mahomes would join Tom Brady (five) and ex-49ers QB Joe Montana (three) as the only players with more than two wins. Mahomes would also join Bart Starr (1967-68) and Terry Bradshaw (1979-80) as the only players to be named Super Bowl MVP in back-to-back games.

Purdy Impressive Against Lions

As the final player chosen in the 2022 NFL Draft, should he win, Purdy would also be making a little bit of history. Based on his performance against the Detroit Lions in the NFC Championship Game, historians might need to rewrite the book on Purdy.

George Kittle on Brock Purdy's scrambling:⁣
⁣
"He scampers. I think that's the best way to describe it … You ever seen one of those little water dragons run across the water?" 😂 pic.twitter.com/tW4ptzDfoe

— KNBR (@KNBR) January 29, 2024

Viewed by critics as nothing more than a game manager, Purdy put the 49ers on his back and carried them to victory over Detroit, overcoming a 24-7 halftime deficit. He completed 20-of-31 passes for 267 yards and a TD. More impressively, Purdy ran five times for 48 yards.

McCaffrey Making Mark

You have to go all the way back to the 1998 Super Bowl to find a RB lifting the MVP award. Yet it’s hard to overlook the chances of the honor going to McCaffrey should San Francisco win the big game. A source no less worthy than Purdy insists that McCaffrey should be the NFL MVP.

He was at it again against the Lions. McCaffrey ran for a pair of TDs. He’s scored four TDs in two playoff games this season. The versatile back has scored a TD in each of his six NFL postseason games. He’s also rambled for 33 TDs in 37 games with the 49ers.

Super Bowl MVP Longshots Do Come In

Normally, betting on longshots is fool’s good. When it comes to the Super Bowl MVP, though, there have been some out there winners over the years.

Desmond Howard was Super Bowl MVP as a kick returner. Five WRs have won the award since 2005. Two linebackers also lifted the MVP trophy from the big game over the past decade. Only one defensive player has won NFL regular-season MVP. But 10 defensive players have won Super Bowl MVP.

On the other hand, no kicker or TE has ever been named Super Bowl MVP, so someone is going to have to break it to Taylor Swift that her main squeeze Travis Kelce is unlikely to be squeezing the award come the conclusion of the big game on February 11.

Super Bowl MVP Pick: Patrick Mahomes (+120)

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The San Francisco 49ers (14-5, 10-9 ATS) were the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl entering the conference championship games and as they ready to face the Kansas City Chiefs (14-6, 12-7-1 ATS) in the big game, oddsmakers are sticking with the Niners as the chalk.

San Francisco is set as 1.5-point favorites over the Chiefs in the opening Super Bowl odds for the 2024 game.

The Chiefs were 1.5-point favorites over the 49ers when Kansas City beat San Francisco 31-20 in the 2020 Super Bowl. Underdogs are 3-0 against the spread in the Super Bowl since that game.

Last season, the reigning Super Bowl champion Chiefs won 38-35 as 2-point underdogs to the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers are 0-2 straight up and ATS in their last two Super Bowl appearances.

49ers vs Chiefs Odds

The 49ers are also -120 moneyline favorites in the NFL odds, giving them a 54.55% implied win probability. The total is set at 47.5 points. Four of the last five Super Bowl games have gone under.

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Odds from the BetMGM Sportsbook app. Use the latest BetMGM promo code SBD158  for new users to claim your Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets Offer in January 2024 that covers your first wager with site credit if it loses! This BetMGM bonus is one of the best betting promos to use for the NFL playoffs and the Big Game on February 11.

Kickoff for the 2024 Super Bowl game at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, February 11, is set for 6:30pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by CBS, as well as by DAZN in Canada.

Super Bowl Rematches Favor Previous Winner

This will be the eighth Super Bowl rematch in the history of the big game. So far, the team that won the first game has won the second meeting on five of seven occasions. That includes the 49ers twice beating the Cincinnati Bengals.

The Chiefs will also be looking to become the eighth team to record back-to-back Super Bowl victories. The 49ers also previously did this, winning Super Bowl games in 1989 and 1990.

After beating San Francisco in 2020, the Chiefs failed to turn two when they lost the 2021 Super Bowl to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by a 31-9 count.

Underdogs Dominant in Recent Games

Along with their current 3-0 ATS run, underdogs have ruled the day most days in recent years in the NFL’s big game. Underdogs are 9-3 ATS over the past 12 Super Bowl games.

The last four times the AFC has been the betting underdog, it’s turned out quite well for them. AFC teams are 4-0 ATS and 3-1 straight up in the past four games in which their conference’s representative has kicked off without the favor of the oddsmakers.

Chiefs On ATS Roll

Sunday’s 17-10 AFC Championship Game win over the Baltimore Ravens marked the fifth time in six games that the Chiefs had covered the spread. They’ve won outright the past two weeks as road underdogs.

YOU GOTTA FIGHT
FOR YOUR RIGHT
TO PAAARTAAAY!!! pic.twitter.com/yx5BsPJusW

— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) January 28, 2024

The Chiefs are also 6-1 SU in their last seven games and 12-2 SU in the past 14 games they’ve played away from Kansas City.

In previous Super Bowl play, the Chiefs are 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS. Kansas City is 2-1 SU and ATS in Super Bowl games they’ve played as the betting underdog.

49ers Fare Well As Super Bowl Favorites

The best news for the 49ers might be that they won’t be playing the Super Bowl at San Francisco. The 49ers are 0-7 ATS in their past seven home games, including an 0-2 slate in the NFL postseason. San Francisco is 1-3 ATS in the past four games against AFC opponents.

Punched our ticket to #SBLVIII pic.twitter.com/y25lJtKach

— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) January 29, 2024

Overall, the 49ers are 5-2 SU in seven previous Super Bowl appearances. As a betting favorite in the big game, San Francisco is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS.

49ers vs Chiefs Early Prediction

In comparison to their previous five trips to the AFC Championship Game, Kansas City’s ride to a sixth consecutive appearance in the NFL final four was a rough ride. However, since the bright lights of the NFL postseason illuminated, the Chiefs have looked like a much different team – one that’s been there and done that.

You could say that the Chiefs have swiftly evolved back into what we expect them to be – a tailor-made Super Bowl contender. The 49ers better be bringing their A-game to the big game. They won’t get away with spotting Kansas City a 24-7 lead like they did in the NFC Championship Game against Detroit.

49ers vs Chiefs pick: Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 (-110)

The post Super Bowl Odds – Opening Point Spread, Moneyline, and Total for 49ers vs Chiefs appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

History and the oddsmakers may not be on the side of the Detroit Lions in Sunday’s NFC Championship Game against the San Francisco 49ers, but in NFL public betting, the people are giving the underdog Lions plenty of action.

Spread splits are showing the Lions getting 71% of handle and 71% of bets as 7-point away underdogs. Detroit hasn’t won in San Francisco since 1975.

At +275, Detroit is also pulling 68% of public moneyline handle in the Lions vs 49ers picks. The Lions have straight up lost 11 successive  road playoff games. However, Detroit’s last away win in the NFL postseason was at San Francisco in 1957.

Over/under players are leaning strongly toward the under on the total of 52 points.

Taking a deeper look, let’s see what the data is telling us about the NFL public betting trends for the Lions vs 49ers NFC Championship Game.

Lions vs 49ers Betting Percentages

The 49ers are -200 moneyline favorites in the Detroit v San Francisco picks, giving them an 77.78% implied win probability. San Francisco was an NFC-best 12-5 straight up during the regular season.

Kickoff for this game at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday, January 28, is set for 6:40pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by FOX.

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Spreading the Love for Lions

The popularity that the Lions are holding in the public spread splits is understandable. Detroit is an NFL-leading 14-5 against the spread this season. As an away team, the Lions are 7-2, covering 77.8% of the time. Detroit is 2-1 as an away underdog.

Which offense are you taking on Sunday? 👀

📺: #DETvsSF – Sunday 6:30pm ET on FOX
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/qCBhyTlJPn

— NFL (@NFL) January 27, 2024

Meanwhile, the 49ers are dismal at covering as home favorites this season, going 3-6 ATS. That’s the worst mark among NFL playoff teams. San Francisco failed to cover in the NFL Division Round as the 10-point home chalk over Green Bay.

The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games and 8-2 ATS over their past 10 road games. San Francisco is 0-6 ATS in the club’s last six home games and 2-4 ATS overall through the past six games played.

Moneyline Splits Are Split

The people are also sticking with the underdog Lions when it comes to moneyline handle action. Public betting splits are displaying 68% of moneyline splits on the handle are going with Detroit at +275.

At 14-5 straight up when you include playoff games, the Lions are actually a touch better than the 13-5 49ers. As a home team and as the home chalk, San Francisco is 6-3 SU. On the road, Detroit is 6-3 SU, but the Lions are just 1-2 SU as an away underdog.

However, the 49ers are pulling 68% of moneyline bets as -350 favorites. That could be because the Lions have lost 13 games in a row at San Francisco. Overall, Detroit is 1-11 SU in the past 12 games facing the 49ers. However, the Lions are 5-1 SU in their past six games this season. They are also 2-5 SU in the last five games against teams from the NFC West.

San Francisco is 8-2 SU through the past 10 games and 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings with an NFC opponent.

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Total Action Going Under

When it comes to the total of 52 points, both the handle and bet splits are leaning solidly to the under. It’s getting 74% of handle and 73% of bets.

49ers-Lions total at #BetMGM

50.5: Open

51: Thursday

51.5: Friday

52: Today

73% of money is on the OVER pic.twitter.com/SznU9BQksN

— John Ewing (@johnewing) January 27, 2024

Detroit is 12-7 on the total this season, while San Francisco is 9-8-1. Both the 49ers as a home team and the Lions as a road team show a 5-4 mark on the over/under.

The over holds a slight 5-3 edge in San Francisco’s past eight games. At 4-2 over the past six games, the over is also maintaining the advantage in Detroit’s recent contests. Eight of the last 11 Lions games have hit the over.

The post Detroit Lions vs San Francisco 49ers Public Betting and Money Percentages for NFL Playoffs appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Before we jump into this weekend’s top Lions vs 49ers props, consider this. There’s an interesting symmetry at work in the NFC Championship Game between the visiting Detroit Lions and the home favorites the San Francisco 49ers.

Detroit hasn’t won a game in San Francisco since 1975. The Lions have also 11 road games in succession in the NFL preseason. However, Detroit’s last away victory in the NFL playoffs was a 31-27 verdict at San Francisco in 1957.

Should any of this information be affecting your choices when it comes to the Lions vs 49ers player props? Let’s have a look at that.

Lions vs 49ers Player Props

Editor’s note: the most bet player prop from this game on the DraftKings Sportsbook app is Christian McCaffrey anytime TD at a short -370. Next on the list is Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD at +115. 

The passing TD prop for both QBs is set at 1.5. The over on Lions QB Jared Goff is set at -125. There’s +160 odds offered on the under for 49ers QB Brock Purdy. The over/under for the game is 51.5 in the NFL odds. FOX is carrying the broadcast. San Francisco is set as 7-point favorites in the Lions vs 49ers odds.

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Lions vs 49ers Props #1: Christian McCaffrey Receptions

During last week’s playoff win over Green Bay, 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey caught seven passes from 12 targets. It was the second time in three games he’s seen double digits in targets.

He’s set with a receptions prop of 4.5 for this game. McCaffrey has gone over that number in three of his last four games and in nine games this season. In playoff games, he’s averaged five receptions per game over his NFL career (25 in five games).

• Lions vs 49ers Prop Picks: Christian McCaffrey over 4.5 Receptions -130 (1 unit)  

Lions vs 49ers Props #2: David Montgomery Rushing Yards

The Packers were able to run on the 49ers defense in their NFC Divisional Round playoff game. Green Bay gained 136 yards on the ground, led by 108 yards from Aaron Jones.

Steve Wilks calls David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs the best 1-2 punch at RB the 49ers have seen all year.

— Nicholas McGee (@nicholasmcgee24) January 25, 2024

Lions RB David Montgomery rambled for 1,015 yards on the ground during regular-season play. Though he was held to 33 yards on 10 carries in the NFL Divisional Round against Tampa Bay, Montgomery has gone over his assigned total of 43.5 yards rushing for this game in nine of Detroit’s last 11 games.

• Lions vs 49ers Prop Picks: David Montgomery over 43.5 Rushing Yards -110 (1 unit)  

Lions vs 49ers Touchdown Scorer Props

Editor’s note: the NFL public-betting splits from DraftKings show that McCaffrey (+335) is the most heavily bet player to score the first TD, attracting 40% of all money bet on the first TD market. Next on the list are Kittle (+900) and Montgomery (+1000) at just 9% of handle. 

McCaffrey is given the shortest odds in the anytime touchdown prop bets for this game of -300. He’s also the +325 chalk in the first TD market for Lions vs 49ers picks.

Lions vs 49ers Props #3: Christian McCaffrey Anytime Touchdown

There’s no such thing as a lock when it comes to NFL props, but McCaffrey getting up close and personal with the opposition’s end zone is about as close as a lock as there is in football.

Christian McCaffrey has scored a TD in 14 of the 17 games he's played this season.

OPOY? pic.twitter.com/dYxIPuEyuS

— NFL (@NFL) January 21, 2024

In 36 games with the 49ers, he’s scored 31 TDs. McCaffrey has never failed to register a TD during an NFL postseason game. He scored twice against the Packers. Sure, the odds aren’t great, but even a little bit of found money is always a good thing for this weekend’s Lions vs 49ers picks.

• Lions vs 49ers Prop Picks: Christian McCaffrey Anytime Touchdown Scorer -300 (1 unit)

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The post Lions vs 49ers Props – Best Player Props to Bet for NFC Championship appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Baltimore Ravens are the favorites over the Kansas City Chiefs in Sunday’s AFC Championship game, and they are also the much healthier team heading into the game in the Chiefs vs Ravens injury reports. And things are looking like they could be even better for Baltimore.

Ravens All-Pro TE Mark Andrews (ankle) could be activated from IR in time for the game. Baltimore CB Marlon Humphrey is the only other Ravens’ starter carrying an injury designation. He’s listed as questionable with a calf injury.

Meanwhile, the underdog Chiefs are showing six starters as questionable, while starting LG Joe Thuney is doubtful due to a pectoral muscle injury.

Baltimore is the 3.5-point home chalk over Kansas City in the Chiefs vs Ravens odds. Kansas City is 4-2 against the spread in the last six meetings with Baltimore.

So far in the Chiefs vs Ravens public betting splits, underdog Kansas City is getting 74% of ATS handle, while Baltimore is pulling 61% of moneyline bets.

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Thuney Unlikely to Play

All-Pro LG Thuney was injured late in Kansas City’s NFL Divisional Round victory at Buffalo. He’s been unable to practice this week and indications are that he won’t be able to play Sunday against the Ravens. 

Joe Thuney got hurt on the Isiah Pacheco TD. You could tell he was dealing with some legit pain. #Chiefs pic.twitter.com/PtmAPMIfKb

— Nick Jacobs (@Jacobs71) January 23, 2024

Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco (ankle) stated confidently this week that he’ll be playing on Sunday. That’s important, because KC RB Jerick McKinnon (groin) is on IR.

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

LB Willie Gay suffered a neck injury in the Buffalo game. However, x-rays of Gay’s neck came back negative and he’s also expected to play Sunday.

Ravens Hopeful of Andrews Return

Andrews has been a full participant in practice this week. His three-week window to be activated from IR opened on January 12.

Watching Marlon Humphrey lead the DBs in drills, looking ready to go, is obviously huge for the Ravens. He left injured in the Miami game, hasn’t played since.

Mark Andrews also looking like himself at practice. pic.twitter.com/Bnw5mEHzDM

— Pete Gilbert (@WBALPete) January 24, 2024

Humphrey missed last week’s win over Houston with his calf injury. He’s been limited in practice this week but is vowing to do whatever he can to play against the Chiefs.

Baltimore Ravens Injury Report

WR Tylan Wallace (knee) has been unable to practice this week. He missed last week’s game against the Texans. Activated off IR, WR Devin Duvernay filled Wallace’s role as Baltimore’s top return specialist.

How Could Injuries Affect Chiefs vs Ravens Betting Lines?

The loss of Thuney could truly impact Kansas City’s offensive line. A First Team All-Pro selection this season, Thuney has been selected to each of the past two Pro Bowl games. His pass block win rate of 99.1% is leading all NFL OL this season.

If Thuney can’t go, Nick Allegretti will step in at LG. He’s started 13 games during five seasons with the Chiefs, including one game this season.

If Pacheco, KC’s leading rusher, is slowed by his injury, look for RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire to take on a larger backfield role, which might be something to ponder in the Chiefs vs Ravens player props.

Another uncertain starter for KC is NT Derrick Nnadi (triceps). He was out last week at Buffalo and has been unable to practice this week.

Andrews hasn’t played since suffering his injury in Week 11 injury against Cincinnati. In his absence, Isaiah Likely has caught five TD passes over six games. Likely snared two passes for 34 yards and a TD in the playoff win over Houston.

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The post Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Injury Reports & Inactives for Conference Championship appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.