Phillies vs Diamondbacks Game 5 Odds, Player-Prop Picks & Predictions (Oct. 21)
- Phillies vs Diamondbacks Game 5 goes Saturday night with the series tied 2-2
- The Phillies send ace Zack Wheeler and his 0.63 postseason WHIP to the mound
- Get the Phillies vs DBacks odds, player props, and predictions for Game 5
Philadelphia’s air of inevitability has dispersed over the past 48 hours. After two dominant home wins to open their best-of-seven NLCS with the Arizona Diamondbacks (91-80, 45-38 home), the Phillies (96-75, 42-43 away) dropped two straight on the road, allowing Arizona to even the series.
Now a best-of-three affair, Philadelphia turns to ace Zack Wheeler in Game 5 (8:07 pm ET/5:07 pm PT). With arguably the best pitcher remaining in the postseason on the hill, they enter Saturday night as slim road favorites.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | -130 | -1.5 (+126) | O 8.0 (-104) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | +110 | +1.5 (-152) | U 8.0 (-118) |
The Phillies are -130 road favorites in Saturday’s MLB odds with the DBacks coming back as +110 home underdogs to take their first lead of the series. The over/under is sitting at 8.0, which is the teams’ exact average through the first four games of the series (32 runs in four games).
Odds as of Oct. 19 at FanDuel. Lock in a FanDuel promo code to wager on Game 3 of the 2023 NLCS.
The NL championship odds have taken a swift and drastic turn over the past two days. Philadelphia was as short as -875 after taking a 2-0 lead in the NLCS. Now they are slight -170 favorites to advance to the World Series in the MLB playoff bracket for a second straight season.
Arizona’s World Series odds, which had faded to +1550 on Wednesday, rebounded to +475 after their back-to-back wins on Thursday and Friday.
Starting Pitchers for PHI vs ARI Game 5
Picking up where he left off in Philadelphia’s run to the 2022 NL Pennant, Wheeler has delivered in all three of his postseason starts to date this year. He’s went at least six innings in all three while allowing no more than two earned runs. In total, he’s pitched 19.0 innings while allowing just five earned runs on 11 hits and one walk while striking out 26.
Arizona ace Gallen hasn’t been as reliable. In three starts of his own, he’s allowed nine runs on 18 hits and seven walks over 16.1 innings with just 12 strikeouts.
Zack Wheeler vs Zac Gallen
| 13-6* | Record | 17-9 |
| 3.61 | ERA | 3.47 |
| 3.21 | xERA | 4.16 |
| 1.08 | WHIP | 1.12 |
| 26.9% | SO% | 26.0% |
*All stats in table from regular season.
In Game 1 of the NLCS, the Phillies tagged Gallen for five runs on eight hits and two walks over just 5.0 innings. Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and Nick Castellanos all went deep in the first two innings as Philly staked itself to a 5-0 lead before Arizona made a game of it late in a 5-3 win.
Wheeler, on the other hand, pitched 6.0 innings while allowing just two runs on three hits with eight Ks. After a leadoff single in the first, he retired 15 straight batters and held Arizona scoreless through five. Geraldo Perdomo hit a two-run homer in the sixth to break-up the shutout.
Arizona vs Philadelphia Player Props: Game 1
| Player | 1+ Home Run | Hits | RBIs | Pitcher Strikeouts | Outs Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | +600 | 1.5 (+155o/-215u) | 0.5 (+130o/-175u) | N/A | N/A |
| Alek Thomas | +900 | 0.5 (-180o/+135u) | 0.5 (+270o/-400u) | N/A | N/A |
| Brandon Marsh | +600 | 0.5 (-165o/+125u) | 0.5 (+230o/-330u) | N/A | N/A |
| Bryce Harper | +370 | 0.5 (-270o/+195u) | 0.5 (+150o/-205u) | N/A | N/A |
| Bryson Stott | +800 | 1.5 (+195o/-275u) | 0.5 (+170o/-230u) | N/A | N/A |
| Christian Walker | +450 | 0.5 (-170o/+125u) | 0.5 (+175o/-245u) | N/A | N/A |
| Corbin Carroll | +600 | 0.5 (-245o/+180u) | 0.5 (+230o/-330u) | N/A | N/A |
| Evan Longoria | +600 | 0.5 (+105o/-135u) | 0.5 (+280o/-425u) | N/A | N/A |
| Gabriel Moreno | +850 | 0.5 (-185o/+140u) | 0.5 (+235o/-340u) | N/A | N/A |
| Geraldo Perdomo | +1200 | 0.5 (-115o/-115u) | 0.5 (+360o/-575u) | N/A | N/A |
| JT Realmuto | +390 | 0.5 (-230o/+170u) | 0.5 (+140o/-190u) | N/A | N/A |
| Johan Rojas | +950 | 0.5 (-185o/+140u) | 0.5 (+255o/-370u) | N/A | N/A |
| Ketel Marte | +450 | 0.5 (-235o/+175u) | 0.5 (+175o/-240u) | N/A | N/A |
| Kyle Schwarber | +255 | 0.5 (-185o/+140u) | 0.5 (+150o/-205u) | N/A | N/A |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr | +550 | 0.5 (-190o/+140u) | 0.5 (+215o/-300u) | N/A | N/A |
| Nick Castellanos | +425 | 0.5 (-200o/+150u) | 0.5 (+160o/-220u) | N/A | N/A |
| Tommy Pham | +600 | 0.5 (-190o/+140u) | 0.5 (+215o/-300u) | N/A | N/A |
| Trea Turner | +320 | 1.5 (+155/-205u) | 0.5 (+135o/-180u) | N/A | N/A |
| Zac Gallen | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5.5 (+100o/-135u) | 15.5 (-140o/+110u) |
| Zack Wheeler | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5.5 (-170o/+125u) | 16.5 (-135o/+105u) |
Saturday’s MLB player props list Wheeler with a strikeout prop of just 5.5, a number which he has far exceeded in all three postseason starts this year (8, 10, 8) though the over is heavily favored at -170 at DraftKings. (FanDuel lists Wheeler’s over at a shorter -156.)
Gallen also has an over/under Ks of 5.5, but his under is favored at -135.
The shortest home-run odds for Game 5 belong to Kyle Schwarber, one of three player to take Gallen yard in Game 1, at +255. Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have the shortest odds among Arizona players at +450.
Phillies vs DBacks Game 5 Predictions
Wheeler’s performances over almost the entirety of the past two playoffs have been excellent, and his team is in dire need of another solid start from their ace to stop the bleeding. Having just faced Wheeler four days ago, the DBacks should be in a better rhythm against the 33-year-old righty, but I don’t expect the entire lineup to avoid the swings-and-misses that plagued them in Game 1.
Gallen doesn’t possess the same type of strikeout stuff as his Philly counterpart, and the Phillies’ lineup wasn’t fooled by much he was throwing on Monday. In addition to the three home runs, Gallen also gave up a concerning 12 fly balls to just six on the ground to go along with his four Ks.
While the Phillies’ bullpen is raising some real concerns, the first half of this game is apt to look a lot like the first half of the series opener.
PHI vs ARI Game 5 Picks:
- Phillies first 5 innings moneyline (-130)
- Wheeler over 5.5 Ks (-156 at FanDuel)
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Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.
