Despite an NBA-best 11-game win streak, the Houston Rockets (38-35, 26-11 home, 41-30-2 ATS) would still be on the outside looking in if the NBA playoffs started today. Sitting a game back of Golden State for the #10 seed, the Rockets will host the in-state rival Dallas Mavericks (44-29, 22-14 away, 42-31-0 ATS) on Sunday night at the Toyota Center in Houston (6:10 pm CT).

The Mavs are riding an impressive streak of their own – winning six straight overall and five in a row on the road –  and oddsmakers slightly favor Dallas keeping its run going in the Mavericks vs Rockets odds.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Odds

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Odds as of March 31 at BetMGM. Lock in a BetMGM promo code to before wagering on Dallas vs Houston today. 

Dallas has moved up to sixth in the West in the NBA playoff bracket, just half a game behind #5 New Orleans and 1.5 clear of #7 Phoenix. If the postseason started today, the Mavericks would matchup with defending-champion Denver in the first round, though the Nuggets are within half a game of the top seed in the West.

Rockets Run Win Streak to 11

Houston stretched its win streak to 11 games on Friday with a narrow 101-100 victory at Utah, its sixth road win during the current streak. For the eighth straight game, third-year guard Jalen Green led Houston in scoring with 34 points plus nine rebounds and six assists.

Green, who has scored at least 26 points in his last eight games (and at least 34 in five of those), is now averaging exactly 20.0 PPG this season along with 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game.

Green’s explosion started at almost the exact time that leading scorer Alperen Senguin (21.4 PPG) went down with a season-ending ankle injury on March 10.

Sengun is joined on the Houston injury report by Tari Eason (9.8 PPG, 7.0 RPG) and Cam Whitmore (12.1 PPG, 39 RPG), who are out with various leg injuries.

Houston ranks just 20th in the NBA in Offensive Rating (113.2) but has moved up to ninth in D-Rating (112.0) and 16th in Net Rating (+1.2) during the last three weeks.

Their 11-game win streak only includes three against teams currently in top-eight positions: 112-104 at Sacramento, 117-103 vs Cleveland, 132-126 at OKC. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander did not play in Houston’s win over the Thunder.

Doncic, Irving Dominating for Dallas

After going 2-5 in its first seven games after the All-Star break, Dallas has rattled off ten wins in its last 11 games, including six in a row. Luka Doncic continues to have an MVP-caliber season while Kyrie Irving has managed to stay healthy and finally play up to his potential in a Mavericks uniform. Irving (25.4 PPG, 5.0 APG) has scored at least 23 points in seven of his last eight games and averaged 26.0 PPG and 7.0 APG in that span.

Kyrie had a team-high 30 in Friday’s 107-103 win at Sacramento, their second road win over the Kings in three days. Doncic added 26 points, 12 assists, and nine rebounds.

Dallas is now sixth in the NBA in O-Rating (117.8) but just 21st in D-Rating (115.8). The antithesis of the defense-first Rockets, Dallas sits ever-so-slightly higher in Net Rating (14th, +2.0).

Doncic remains the third-favorite in the 2024 NBA MVP odds, but with Nikola Jokic (-515) taking his game to a new level in the last month, Luka’s odds have faded to +1050.

DAL vs HOU Player Props

Player prop odds as of March 31 at DraftKings. Claim the DraftKings promo code for new users to bet on Sunday’s NBA player props. 

Mavericks vs Rockets Prediction

An 11-game win streak in the NBA is never something to sneer at, but looking under the surface reveals a fairly modest streak of Ws. Eight of the 11 came against sub-.500 teams. They have only been underdogs three times in those 11 games.

Dallas, meanwhile, has played its best defensive basketball of the season over the last two weeks. The Mavericks have held six straight opponents to 107 or fewer. They’ve also held four of their last nine opponents to single-digits.

Eventually all of the Rockets’ injuries are going to catch up with them, and I expect that to start tonight.

DAL vs HOU pick: Mavericks -2.5 (-110)

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

• 17-23 moneyline (+2.06 units)
• 22-18-2 ATS (+3.99 units)
• 0-1 over/under (-1.00 units)
• 8-14 player props (-7.08 units)
• 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise 

The post Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Picks, Predictions, Odds & Props (March 31) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Boston Celtics (57-16) travel to face the New Orleans Pelicans (45-28) at Smoothie King Center on Saturday evening. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00 PM ET and the game will be televised on NBA TV, BSNO, and NBCS-BOS.

The Celtics enter as 6-point road favorites with the over/under set at 223 points, according to Bet365. Player props have also been released, with Jayson Tatum and Zion Williamson sporting the highest point totals on the board.

Let’s delve into our Celtics vs Pelicans prediction as we analyze the odds and determine the best player props to wager on.

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans Odds

In the Celtics vs Pelicans odds, Boston is a -245 road favorite, giving them 71% implied win probability. Check out our NBA odds page for moneylines and spreads for all of Saturday’s games.

In the updated NBA Championship odds, Boston is the favorite at +212 average odds, while New Orleans is a +7000 longshot.

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Odds as of March 30, 2024, at Bet365 Sportsbook. Claim the Bet365 promo code to bet on Celtics vs Pelicans.

Celtics Betting Trends

Boston enters this contest looking to bounce back after suffering consecutive road losses to the Atlanta Hawks. In their most recent defeat on Thursday, the Celtics fell 123-122 in overtime as heavy 16-point favorites.

It marked a rare non-cover for a Boston team that has been one of the best bets in the NBA this season, going 38-32-3 against the spread (ATS) overall and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.

Offensively, the Celtics have been virtually unstoppable lately, eclipsing the 117-point mark in each of their past 11 outings dating back to March 9th. As usual, the catalyst has been All-Star forward Jayson Tatum. The 25-year-old is in the midst of another MVP-caliber campaign, ranking 6th in the league in scoring at 27.3 points per game while also contributing 8.2 rebounds and 4.9 assists.

Tatum’s partner in crime, Jaylen Brown, has also elevated his play this season. The versatile wing is posting 23.3 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest. His ability to create his own shot and defend multiple positions makes him the perfect complement to Tatum.

From a betting perspective, there are a few key trends to note. The Celtics have been a solid bet as a road favorite this season, going 17-16-3 ATS in that spot. They have also been a strong over team lately, with the over hitting in five straight and seven of their last eight games overall.

Pelicans Betting Trends

New Orleans comes in playing some of their best basketball of the season. The Pelicans have won six of their last eight games overall, going 5-3 ATS during that stretch. Their most impressive performance came on Thursday when they took down the Milwaukee Bucks 107-100 as short 2-point home underdogs.

For the season, New Orleans has been a boon for bettors, compiling a 40-31-2 ATS record. As usual, the Pelicans are led by Zion Williamson’s freakish talents. The third-year forward is putting up 22.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game while shooting an absurd 58% from the field.

Zion Williamson in his last 3 games for the Pelicans 🔥

28 PTS – 5 REBS – 2 ASTS – 9-of-15 FG
29 PTS – 5 REBS – 10 ASTS – 10-of-17 FG
36 PTS – 7 REBS – 6 ASTS – 13-of-14 FG pic.twitter.com/FPRWZzMrtt

— ClutchPoints (@ClutchPoints) March 29, 2024

Williamson is flanked by veteran guard CJ McCollum, who has provided a steadying presence in his first full season with the team. The 31-year-old is averaging 18.8 points and 4.5 assists per game, giving New Orleans a reliable secondary creator and floor spacer.

Unfortunately for the Pelicans, they will once again be without the services of another one of their top players in Brandon Ingram. The skilled forward has been sidelined since March 15th with a knee injury and remains out indefinitely.

Celtics vs Pelicans Player Props

NBA player props have been released for the Celtics vs Pelicans showdown, with oddsmakers forecasting big nights from each team’s star player. Taum and Williamson both have a projected point total of 25.5, while CJ McCollum is also sitting above 20 (22.5).

Player prop odds as of March. 30, at Caesars Sportsbook.

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Tatum over 25.5 points is a solid bet considering the Pelicans allow the 8th most points to opposing small forwards. Tatum is averaging 27.3 points per season, and his road production is identical to his production at TD Garden. Following a 31-point showing vs Atlanta, Tatum should stay hot as he aims to will Boston back into the win column.

On the New Orleans side, we think McCollum cashes the over on his point total in what should be a high-scoring game. The shooting guard is only averaging 18.8 points on the year, but with Ingram sidelined, he’s scored over 23 points in four straight games. Boston ranks just 18th in opponent three-point percentage, and McCollum has been on fire from deep.

Celtics vs Pelicans Prop Picks:

• Jayson Tatum Over 25.5 Points (-127)
• CJ McCollum Over 22.5 Points (-109)

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

When breaking down the matchup, it’s hard not to give the Celtics a significant edge on paper. They have more top-end talent with Tatum and Brown, a deeper roster of complementary pieces, and a championship pedigree having made the Finals last season. The absence of Ingram only tilts the scales further in Boston’s favor.

However, the Pelicans have proven time and again that they are a tough out on their home floor. With Williamson leading the charge and a raucous New Orleans crowd behind them, they certainly have the ingredients to keep this game competitive.

Ultimately, I do expect the Celtics to emerge victorious and continue their march toward the top seed in the East. But I think the Pelicans put up a strong fight and keep it within the 6-point spread. I also lean towards the over given how explosive Boston’s offense has been lately and the potential for a fast-paced, high-scoring affair.

BOS vs NOP Picks:

• Pelicans +6 (-110)
• Over 223 (-110)

The post Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (Mar. 30) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Milwaukee Bucks (46-25) will aim to extend their home winning streak to seven games when they host the visiting Los Angeles Lakers (40-32) on Tuesday evening. Tip-off is set for 7:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum, with TNT carrying the broadcast nationally.

The Bucks enter the game as a 9.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 231.5 points. NBA player props are available, with Giannis Antetokounmpo forecasted to have a strong game and LeBron James unlikely to suit up.

Who will cover the spread in Lakers vs Bucks? Let’s get into our LA vs Milwaukee prediction, along with player props to bet.

LA Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds

In the Lakers vs Bucks odds for Tuesday, Milwaukee is a heavy -425 moneyline favorite, giving them an implied win probability of 59%.

In their previous meeting on March 8th, the Lakers edged the Bucks 123-122 in a thrilling finish at Crypto.com Arena. The Lakers are looking to sweep the season series.

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Odds as of March 26, 2024, at Bet365 Sportsbook. Unlock the Bet365 promo code to bet on Lakers vs Bucks. Bet $5 on Lakers vs Bucks and get $150!

Lakers Betting Analysis

The Lakers come into this game riding a three-game winning streak, most recently defeating the Indiana Pacers 150-145 on Sunday. Anthony Davis led the way with 36 points and 16 rebounds, while LeBron James added 26 points and 10 assists in the high-scoring affair.

The Lakers’ offense has been clicking, averaging 117.7 points per game (ninth in the NBA), but their defense has struggled, allowing 117.6 points per game (23rd). Davis has been the Lakers’ most consistent performer this season, averaging 24.6 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 2.4 blocks per game.

Anthony Davis: Your Player of the Week (10x) pic.twitter.com/QlCgIeP4lK

— Los Angeles Lakers (@Lakers) March 25, 2024

James, despite battling injuries throughout the season, is still putting up impressive numbers with 25.4 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 8.1 assists per game. However, he is currently listed as doubtful for this game due to an ankle injury.

In terms of betting trends, the Lakers are 33-39 against the spread (ATS) this season, but are just 12-20 against the number on the road. The over has hit in 39 of the Lakers’ 72 games.

Bucks Betting Analysis

The Bucks, meanwhile, have won four of their last five games, including a 118-93 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder on March 24. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 30 points and 19 rebounds in that game.

Milwaukee boasts the second-best record in the Eastern Conference and has been dominant at home, going 18-5 at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks have won six straight on their home court, including an impressive win over Phoenix on March 17th.

Giannis scored a team-high 34 points in our last matchup with the Lakers on March 8.

⏪: @betwayusa pic.twitter.com/agPg3FHazT

— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) March 26, 2024

Antetokounmpo has been a force to be reckoned with this season. He averages 30.7 points (second in the NBA), 11.2 rebounds, and 6.4 assists per game. His unique combination of size, strength, and athleticism makes him a matchup nightmare for any opponent.

A key aspect of this game will be three-point shooting, as the Bucks rank third in the NBA in three-point percentage (37.8%). Damian Lillard, Khris Middleton, and Malik Beasley all shoot over 36% from beyond the arc. The Bucks also rank fifth in the league in rebounding (47.2 per game).

Like their Tuesday counterparts, the Bucks haven’t been a profitable betting team against the number in the 2023-24 season. Milwaukee is only 32-39 ATS, including 17-19 ATS at home. The “over” has cashed in 34 of their 71 games.

Lakers vs Bucks Player Props

NBA player props have been released for the Lakers vs Bucks showdown, with oddsmakers forecasting another big game from Giannis. The “Greek Freak” has the highest point total on the board at 29.9, while LeBron James props aren’t available due to his injury status.

NBA Player props odds as of March. 26, at Caesars Sportsbook.

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The NBA player prop bet we like the most in this game is Austin Reaves over 17.5 points. If James is out, Reaves will step into a larger role with a high ceiling for his point total. The 25-year-old shooting guard is coming off a 25-point, eight-assist, and five-rebound game against the Pacers on Sunday.

Reaves’ usage jumps over five percentage points when LeBron is not on the floor, averaging 19.1 points in those games. Reaves only scored 18 points in the first meetings, as Russell went off for 44. While D’Lo should have another strong game, that was an outlier performance, and the point distribution should be more even on Tuesday.

Lakers vs Bucks Prop Bets:

• Austin Reaves Over 17.5 Points (-106 at Caesars)

Lakers vs Bucks Prediction

While the Lakers have been playing well recently and have the star power to compete with anyone, the Bucks’ depth and home-court advantage give them the edge in this matchup. If LeBron James is unable to play, it will be an even tougher task for the Lakers to leave Milwaukee with a win.

Although we like the Bucks to win outright on their home court, we think the Lakers offer some value to cover the number. LA is the more desperate team as they aim to secure a play-in spot, and they’ve covered in three straight meetings between the two clubs at Fiserv Forum.

The Lakers lead the NBA with a +420 free-throw differential, almost double that of the Bucks. Russell, coming off a 44-point game in the last meeting, should help provide enough scoring on Tuesday, while Davis will protect the rim and make life difficult for Antetokounmpo.

LAL vs MIL Pick:

• Lakers +9.5 (-110)

The post LA Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (Mar. 26) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Golden State Warriors (36-34, 18-15 away, 37-32-1 ATS) try to break out of a two-game losing streak on Tuesday night when they visit the Miami Heat (39-32, 18-16 home, 34-36-1 ATS) at the Kaseya Center at 7:10 pm ET.

Miami is battling a long list of injuries to starters and rotation players, which has led oddsmakers to list Golden State as a slight road favorite on March 26.

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Odds

Golden State is 1.5-point road chalk in Tuesday’s Warriors vs Heat odds and -135 on the moneyline. Miami, which has been curiously mediocre at home this season, comes back as a +110 underdog to improve its record to 19-16 straight-up at the Kaseya Center. The total is listed at 217.5 in Tuesday’s NBA odds.

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Golden State remains the #10 seed in the West in the NBA playoff bracket, now 2.5 games behind the #9 Lakers and only half a game up on the #11 Rockets, who have won an NBA-best nine straight.

Warriors Drop Back to Back Games

Golden State is perilously close to falling out of the postseason picture altogether after back-to-back losses to Indiana (123-111 home) and Minnesota (114-110 away).

The Warriors led both games at the half but were outscored 57-44 in the second by the Pacers and 68-56 by the Timberwolves. Steph Curry had a team-high 25 against Indiana and 31 against Minnesota.

The good news for the Dubs is that they’ll head into Tuesday night as the considerably healthier team. Trayce Jackson-Davis (7.4 PPG, 4.5 RPG) is the only player on Golden State’s injury report, listed as questionable with a sore right knee.

Golden State lost its first game with Miami this season, 114-102 at home on Dec. 28 as 6.5-point home favorites.

Heat Demolish Cavs to Win Fourth of Last Six

Miami put the boots to Cleveland on Sunday, crushing the Cavaliers 121-84 in arguably the team’s best defensive performance of the season. Seven different Heat players scored in double-figures, led by 18 off the bench from Haywood Highsmith, as Miami won each of the first three quarters by at least ten points.

Cleveland was missing leading scorer Donovan Mitchell, but the Heat were also without several significant contributors, which will be the case again on Tuesday.

Tyler Herro (20.8 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 4.4 APG), Duncan Robinson (13.5 PPG, 40.5 3P%), Kevin Love (9.0 PPG, 6.2RPG), and Josh Richardson (9.9 PPG) are all out, while Caleb Martin (10.3 PPG, 4.6 RPG) and Jaime Jaquez Jr (12.3 PPG, 4.0 RPG) are both questionable.

Miami has now won four of its past six games, but that includes a pair of road wins over the Pistons, and the team is actually just 1-3 straight-up in its last four at home.

GSW vs MIA Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on March 26. 

Curry has the highest point total of the night at 25.5 while Butler leads the Heat players at 22.5.

Warriors vs Heat Prediction

As good as the Heat looked last time out, and as much as I want to back them at plus money, I have to fade them on Tuesday night. Miami’s litany of injuries is just too long, and Golden State’s position is too perilous. With only 12 games remaining in the regular season, the Warriors will need a playoff effort each and every time out to ensure they’re still playing come late April.

GSW vs MIA picks:

• Warriors -1.5 (-115)
• Curry over 25.5 points (-140)

The post Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Picks, Player Props & Predictions (March 26) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Both teams will be playing the second leg of back-to-backs on Monday night when the Indiana Pacers (40-32, 19-17 away, 38-32-3 ATS) visit the LA Clippers (44-26, 22-12 home, 34-36 ATS) at crypto.com Arena at 7:40 pm PT/10:40 pm ET.

In a fierce battle for a top-six seed in the East, the Pacers are listed as 6-point road underdogs after falling to the Lakers in the same stadium last night.

Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers Odds

Coming off a lopsided loss to the 76ers in a Sunday matinee, LAC is a -240 moneyline favorite to end its skid at one game. Indiana is a +190 longshot to win straight-up, while the total sits at 233.5, the second-highest among the 11 games in Monday’s NBA odds. (Dallas vs Utah is the highest at 237.5.)

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Indiana is currently the #6 seed in the East in the NBA playoff bracket, but is only half a game up on both #7 Miami and #8 Philadelphia, while trailing #5 Orlando by 2.5 games.

The Clippers are #4 in the West but their lead over #5 New Orleans has shrunk to just half a game, while the gap between LAC and #3 Minnesota is now 4.5.

Clippers Suffer Rare Blowout Loss at Home to Sixers

Big 8.5-point home favorites last night over the shorthanded 76ers (who are still without Joel Embiid), the Clippers never fully recovered from a 41-29 first-quarter deficit. The offense was sloppy (14 turnovers) and the defense was subpar, allowing the Sixers to shoot 53.3% from the field and 48.6% from three in a 121-107 Philadelphia victory.

Kawhi Leonard had a team-high 20 points, but Leonard, Paul George, and James Harden combined to shoot just 19-of-44 (43.2%).

The loss dropped the Clippers to 20-12 straight-up at home this season and just 16-18 ATS at crypto.com Arena.

LAC’s offense remains a top-five unit in terms of efficiency (118.9 O-Rating, fourth in the NBA) but its defense is only 14th in the league (115.0 D-Rating). They are currently seventh in point differential at +3.8.

Monday’s game will be the second of two meetings between the Clippers and Pacers this season. LA won in a rout (151-127) at Indiana on Dec. 18. But take that result with a grain of salt; it predated the midseason trade that sent Pascal Siakam (21.4 PPG, 8.0 RPG) to Indiana, and center Myles Turner (17.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG) didn’t play due to a hamstring injury.

On the injury front, Russell Westbrook (11.1 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 4.4 APG), who hasn’t played since March 1, remains sidelined following hand surgery. He’s the only notable Clippers out of Monday’s NBA lineups.

Pacers Can’t Complete Comeback vs Lakers

Despite a strong start (36-30 lead after the first quarter), the Pacers found themselves trailing the lakers by 17 heading into the fourth quarter last night. Indiana had a monster fourth quarter and narrowed the gap to just four (127-123) with 5:33 still on the clock, but that’s as close as it would come in a 150-145 loss.

Midseason acquisition Pascal Siakam had his best games in a Pacer jersey, scoring a team-high 36 points with 12 rebounds and two assists on 16-of-29 shooting from the field (55.2%). Tyrese Haliburton had another double-double with 12 points and 10 dimes, but was an inefficient 5-of-13 from the field.

Indiana’s defense was, as usual, porous. It was also undisciplined, sending the Lakers to the line 43 times. LeBron James and company outscored Indiana 38-9 from the stripe.

Indiana remains second to the Celtics in O-Rating (120.0) but is a woeful 25th in D-Rating (117.9) and just 13th in Net Rating (+2.0) as a result.

Last night’s loss dropped the Pacers to a still-respectable 19-17 on the road and a rock-solid 19-15-1 ATS away (55.1% cover rate).

The only notable injury on the Pacers side is Bennedict Mathurin (14.5 PPG, 4.0 RPG), who underwent season-ending shoulder surgery two weeks ago

IND vs LAC Player Props

Leonard has the highest point total of the night at 24.5, followed by teammate George (23.5) while Siakam (22.5) leads the Pacers. Haliburton is pegged for another double-double with an 18.5 O/U for points and 10.5 O/U for assists.

Pacers vs Clippers Prediction

The Clippers have been a fairly streaky ATS team this season. They have three ATS win streaks of three or more and four ATS losing streaks of three or more. After a loss, they are just 11-14 against the spread.

Indiana, on the other hand, has been one of the best ATS best after a defeat, going 19-11-2 against the number after a straight-up loss.

Given that the Pacers haven’t had to travel at all, this isn’t as difficult as most back-to-back road games. And prior to last night, Indiana had won five away games in a row, including four as sizable underdogs against Dallas (137-120), Orlando (111-97), OKC (121-111), and Golden State (123-111).

As long as the officiating isn’t as one-sided as it was against the Lakers last night (reminder that the Pacers were outscored 38-9 from the free-throw line), I love Indiana to cover.

The spread is still as high as +6 at DraftKings.

IND vs LAC pick: Pacers +6 (-112)

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

• 17-23 moneyline (+2.06 units)
• 21-18-2 ATS (+2.23 units)
• 0-1 over/under (-1.00 units)
• 8-13 player props (-6.08 units)
• 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise 

The post Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers Odds, Predictions, Player Props & Picks (March 25) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

A highly anticipated game between the top two teams in the Eastern Conference on Wednesday night has lost some of its luster. The Milwaukee Bucks (44-24, 17-17 away, 30-37-1 ATS) will be without leading scorer and two-time NBA MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo (hamstring) when they visit the East-leading Boston Celtics (54-14, 31-3 home, 36-29-3 ATS) on Wednesday night at TD Garden (7:40 pm ET).

With Giannis sidelined, the Celtics are massive home favorites.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Odds

Boston is laying 10.5 points to the East’s current #2 seed and is a -535 favorite on the moneyline. Milwaukee comes back at +400 to win straight-up. The total is at 224 and the NBA public betting splits show the vast majority of action on the over (93% as of 1 pm ET).

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With a 10-game lead over the Bucks and just 14 games remaining in the regular season, the Celtics are all but assured the #1 seed in the East in the 2024 NBA playoff bracket. Milwaukee is just one game up on #3 Cleveland and three up on #4 New York. If the postseason started today and the seeds held in the Play-In Tournament, Boston would face #8 Miami in the first round while Milwaukee would face #7 Indiana.

Milwaukee Dusts Phoenix Without Giannis

The Bucks looked more than comfortable – especially on offense – without Giannis on Sunday when they raced past Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns 140-129 (home) as 2.5-point home underdogs. Damian Lillard dropped 31 points and 16 assists on 10-of-19 shooting while Bobby Portis added another 31 off the bench while shooting a perfect 5-of-5 from three.

Playing his first game since Feb. 6, Khris Middleton showed no signs of rust, scoring 22 points on 8-of-15 shooting with seven assists in 25 minutes.

Sunday’s win improved Milwaukee’s record to 3-1 SU without Giannis this season. In addition to the Suns, the Bucks managed wins over the Raptors (128-112 away) and Clippers (113-106 home), while losing by 40 to the Cavaliers (135-95 away). Last season, pre-Damian Lillard, the Bucks were 11-8 without Giannis.

Lillard, who’s second on the team in scoring at 24.4 PPG, has averaged 31.5 PPG in the four games Giannis has missed this year. Antetokounmpo leads the team in both scoring (30.4 PPG), rebounding (11.2 RPG), and steals (1.2 SPG), and is second to Lillard in assists (6.4 APG). He’s currently the fourth-favorite in the NBA MVP odds.

Boston Freight Train Keeps Rolling

Since suffering just their second two-game losing streak of the season on March 5 and 7, the Celtics have rattled off six straight wins and all six have been by double-digits. While the quality of competition wasn’t too high, their current win streak includes a pair of wins over the Suns (117-107 away, 127-112 home).

Boston leads the NBA in a wide range of statistics. The C’s are first in Offensive Rating (122.0), which is 2.2 higher than second-place Indiana. (The gap between Boston and Indiana is the same as the gap between Boston and seventh-place Denver.) Boston is also first in point differential by a wide margin. At +11.7, the Celtics are 4.1 ahead of second-place OKC (+7.6).

Boston’s Defensive Rating (110.2) is second to Minnesota (108.4) while the team is also fourth in rebound percentage (51.7%) and second in turnover percentage (12.3%).

On the injury front, both Jrue Holiday (shoulder) and Jaylen Brown (ankle) are listed as questionable. Brown had a game-high 31 points on 11-of-20 shooting in 30 minutes against the Pistons last time out (a 119-94 Boston win on Monday). Holiday didn’t play.

MIL vs BOS Player Props

Bucks/Celtics NBA player props from DraftKings Sportsbook on March 20.

With Giannis out, Damian Lillard has a game-high point total of 26.5, alongside Boston’s Jayson Tatum. Lillard also has the highest assist total of the night at 7.5.

Bucks vs Celtics Prediction

This line is disrespectful to a Milwaukee group that still has a ton of talent sans Giannis. Especially with Middleton back and at full speed, the Bucks have the makeup of a top-four team in the East whether Antetokounmpo is in the lineup or not.

Expect a big effort from the shorthanded Bucks and a much closer game than the odds portend.

Bucks vs Celtics picks:

• Milwaukee Bucks +10.5 (-110)
• Lillard over 26.5 points (-115) – two units

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

• 17-23 moneyline (+2.06 units)
• 20-18-2 ATS (+1.32 units)
• 0-1 over/under (-1.00 units)
• 7-13 player props (-7.82 units)
• 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise 

The post Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Picks, Player Props & Odds (March 20) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The surging Minnesota Timberwolves will go for their fourth straight victory when they host the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday night. Tip-off is set for 9:00 PM ET at Target Center in Minneapolis.

According to the odds on Tuesday’s NBA game, Denver is favored to prevail on the road. The Nuggets are a 7.5-point spread favorite, while the over/under is offered at 213.5. NBA player props are also available, with Anthony Edwards boasting the highest total.

Let’s delve into our Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction, as we analyze the odds and offer player props to bet.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

In the Nuggets vs Timberwolves odds, Denver is a -320 favorite on the moneyline, giving them 76% implied win probability.

Minnesota won the first matchup 110-89 on Nov. 1 on its home court. Edwards led the Timberwolves with 24 points on 8-for-16 shooting, and Mike Conley chipped in 17 points on 7-for-9 shooting.

Both teams are battling with the Oklahoma City Thunder (47-20) for the top seed in the Western Conference NBA Playoff Bracket.

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Denver Nuggets Betting Analysis

Denver comes into this Tuesday NBA matchup boasting a stellar 8-2 record in their past 10 contests. However, the team suffered a heartbreaking 107-105 loss at the buzzer to the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. The Mavs outrebounded the Nuggets 60-37 on the night.

Denver is led by NBA MVP odds contender Nikola Jokic, who averages 25.9 points, 12.2 rebounds, and 9.1 assists this season. Jamal Murray is next on the scoring list with 20.9 points per game, while Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.7.

The Nuggets rank top-15 in both points per game and points allowed per game but are struggling from the free-throw line. Denver is making just 76.18% of their throws from the charity stripe, ranking them in the bottom 10 of the NBA.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Analysis

The Timberwolves enter Tuesday’s game boasting a 6-4 record in their past 10 contests, including a current four-game winning streak. They are playing for the second straight night after winning 114-104 over the Utah Jazz in Salt Lake City on Monday.

The Timberwolves erased a 16-point deficit in that Monday night game, with Anthony Edwards putting on a show. Known as “Ant-Man,” the 22-year-old small forward put up a team-high 32 points on Monday, including a highlight-reel dunk over the head of Jazz defender John Collins.

ANTHONY EDWARDS MY GOODNESS.

pic.twitter.com/pLr5Rze4mF

— Hoop Central (@TheHoopCentral) March 19, 2024

Edwards has stepped up with Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) and Rudy Gobert (rib), both sidelined by injury. Naz Reid exited Monday’s contest with a head injury and is listed as questionable for Tuesday’s game.

The Timberwolves have the best defense in the NBA this season, allowing just 106.6 points per game. They only rank 19th in points scored per contest (113.3), but their 38.65% field goal percentage is fourth-best among all 32 teams.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Player Props

Nuggets vs Timberwolves props are readily available at NBA betting apps. Anthony Edwards has the highest point projection on the board at 28.5 points, despite ESPN analysis Stephen A Smith predicting Jokic will dominate Ant-Man tonight.

In the Nuggets vs Timberwolves player props, we would like to target Jokic if Gobert sits on Tuesday. “Joker” has averaged just 20 points in his previous three games, but he will face very little resistance down low if Gobert sits.

Jokic uncharacteristically shot 37.5% from the field in Sunday’s loss to the Mavs, making his props slightly lower than they should be. On the season, Joker is shooting 58.1% from the field and averaging 26 points per contest. This is a prime bounce-back spot against the Wolves.

Jokic averaged 26.2 points against Minnesota in last year’s first-round series, and Minnesota has also allowed 23 points per game to centers over the last 15 games. Bet the over on Jokic’s point total in the NBA player props.

Denver vs Minnesota Prop Pick: 

• Nikola Jokic Over 25.5 Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Can Minnesota extend its winning streak to four games against Nikola Jokic and the defending champs? The Timberwolves successfully navigated a long road trip hampered by injuries and now return to Minneapolis to begin a four-game homestand.

Minnesota’s 23-8 record at Target Center is notable, but the Nuggets are also a decent 20-15 away from their home court. Here are some betting trends to keep in mind before making your Nuggets vs Wolves prediction:

• Denver is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games.
• The Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.
• The Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite.

We like Denver to prevail on the road, but eight points is a lot against a surging Timberwolves squad. Instead, we’re looking at the game total. Over the last 10 games, the Timberwolves rank 22nd in pace, and the Nuggets rank 17th, indicating neither team is playing at a fast pace.

According to the NBA’s advanced stats, both clubs rank in the top 10 in defensive efficiency over their past 10 games. Minnesota’s scoring will dry up against this elite Denver squad, and the two teams will fall under the posted number.

DEN vs MIN Pick:

• Under 213.5 Points (-110)

The post Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (Mar. 19) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Still three games back of the top-six in the West with just 16 games remaining, the Golden State Warriors (35-31, 17-17 home, 36-29-1 ATS) host the New York Knicks (40-27, 18-14 away, 34-30-3 ATS) on Monday night at the Chase Center (7:10 pm PT/10:10 pm ET).

The Dubs, who got Steph Curry back from a three-game absence last time out, are listed as 5.5-point favorites in the Knicks vs Warriors odds for Monday, March 18.

New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors Odds

Monday’s NBA odds also show the Warriors as -210 moneyline chalk with the Knicks coming back at +175 to win straight-up. The game total is at just 211.5, which is 5.5 points lower than any other Warriors game this season.

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Odds as of March 18 at ESPN Bet. Claim the ESPN Bet promo to wager on Knicks vs Warriors.

If the postseason started today, the Warriors would be the #9 seed in the West in the NBA playoff bracket and would host the Lakers in the 9-vs-10 Play-In Game. The Knicks are clinging to the #4 seed in the East, half a game ahead of the Magic.

Warriors Get Back in the Win Column With Curry

Golden State went just 1-2 while Curry was sidelined with an ankle injury, including a loss to the Western Conference-worst San Antonio Spurs. But Curry showed no rust when he returned for a huge game against the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday, scoring a team-high 31 points in the Dubs’ 128-121 victory.

Draymond Green played arguably his best game of the season, with six points, 12 rebounds, 13 assists, and a steal. Green’s performance helped the undersized Warriors finish with a massive 45-39 edge on the glass, though it certainly helped that Anthony Davis managed just four rebounds in 12 minutes before exiting with an eye injury.

The Warriors won the first meeting of the season with the Knicks (110-99) in New York back on Feb. 29, with Curry once again scoring a team-high 31 points. They currently sit 11th in the NBA in O-Rating (116.8), 15th in D-Rating (115.4), and 14th in Net Rating (+1.4). Golden State’s +1.6 point differential is seventh-best in the West.

New York Rides Defense to Three-Game Win Streak

The Knicks have been playing absurdly good defense over the past two weeks. New York hasn’t allowed more than 93 points in its last five games, a ludicrous feat in the modern NBA. New York has won three straight against the 76ers (106-79 home), Trail Blazers (105-93 away), and Kings (98-91 away), the last as 3.5-point road underdogs.

All-Star Jalen Brunson has gone off the past two games, dropping 45 against the Blazers and 42 against the Kings and becoming the first Knick ever to score 40 in back-to-back games.

New York, which owns the best rebound percentage in the entire NBA (52.9%), crushed the Kings on the glass (52-42) while holding them to just 35.3% shooting from the field and 27% from beyond the arc.

After this absurdly good defensive streak, New York still only sits seventh in the NBA in D-Rating (111.9). Along with their O-Rating of 116.4 (14th), the Knicks have the sixth-best Net Rating at +4.5.

OG Anunoby, who has played the last three for the Knicks after missing nearly two months of action, is questionable for tonight’s game with an elbow injury. He managed just two points on 1-of-8 shooting in 33 minutes in the win over Sacramento on Saturday.

Warriors vs Mavericks Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on March 18. 

Coming off back-to-back 40-point games, Brunson (27.5 PPG) leads the Knicks/Warriors props with a point total of 29.5 O/U. Curry (27.0 PPG) is close behind at 26.5. Knicks guard Josh Hart, who has been on a rebounding tear, is listed with a rebound total of 10.5 O/U.  The 6’4 two-guard has grabbed at least 11 rebounds in four straight games and hit double-digits in seven of his last nine (including a pair of 19-rebound performances).

Knicks vs Warriors Prediction

New York’s current defensive streak is impressive, but it’s also been incredibly lucky. The Knicks’ opponents have been ice cold, and that’s something that will regress to the mean over the coming weeks, starting tonight in San Francisco. And opponents aren’t missing shots at the same alarming rate they have been, the opportunity for rebounds is going to be considerably lower. (Looking at you, Josh Hart.)

With New York playing at the single slowest pace in the NBA, 5.5 starts to look like a fairly big number, so I am going to back the Warriors at an alternate spread of -3.5, which has a price of -150 at ESPN Bet.

Knicks vs Warriors pick:

• Warriors -3.5 (-150)
• Hart under 10.5 rebounds (+110)

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

• 17-23 moneyline (+2.06 units)
• 20-17-2 ATS (+2.32 units)
• 0-1 over/under (-1.00 units)
• 7-12 player props (-6.82 units)
• 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise 

The post New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors Predictions, Player Props & Odds (March 18) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Golden State Warriors (34-31) travel to Los Angeles to take on the Lakers (36-31) on Saturday, March 16 at 8:30pm ET on ABC. Steph Curry appears to be making his return to the Warriors lineup following a four-game absence.

The Lakers opened as 3-point home favorites but the line has since moved to Lakers -2.5 at most sportsbooks. The over/under is set at 233.5 points. NBA player props favor big nights from Curry, LeBron James and Anthony Davis.

Let’s get into our Warriors vs Lakers prediction, as we analyze the odds and determine the best player props to wager on.

Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers Odds

In the Warriors vs Lakers odds, Los Angeles is a -130 moneyline favorite, giving them 56% implied win probability in the NBA odds.

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Odds as of March 16, 2024, at ESPN Sportsbook. Claim the latest ESPN Bet welcome offer to bet on Lakers vs Warriors. Bettors in North Carolina can unlock the ESPN Bet North Carolina promo.

This Western Conference showdown features two teams jockeying for playoff positioning, with the Lakers currently holding the 9th seed and the Warriors right behind them in 10th. See all the seedings in our NBA Playoff Bracket.

Warriors-Lakers History

The Warriors and Lakers have split their two meetings so far this season, with each team winning on its home floor. On January 28, the Lakers prevailed 145-144 in an overtime thriller, despite Curry’s 39 points. James had 29 points, 11 rebounds, and 11 assists in the win.

The Warriors got revenge on February 23, cruising to a 128-110 victory behind Curry’s 29 points and eight assists. Klay Thompson added 23 points, and Draymond Green had 13 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists.

GS vs LAL Recent Results

Over the last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Lakers hold a 7-3 advantage straight up and against the spread. The over has hit in six of the last 10. At home, the Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last six versus Golden State. The Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games against the Lakers.

Warriors Betting Analysis

The Warriors enter this matchup having lost three of their last four games, including a 109-99 defeat to the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Golden State was without superstar point guard Stephen Curry for the third straight game due to a right ankle sprain.

Curry’s status for Saturday’s game is still up in the air, but he did practice on Friday and head coach Steve Kerr said he anticipates Curry will play. His return would provide a huge boost to a Warriors offense that has struggled mightily in his absence.

"That's the plan."

Steph Curry on making his return tomorrow vs. the Lakers pic.twitter.com/70SJMtvw3R

— Warriors on NBCS (@NBCSWarriors) March 16, 2024

For the season, Curry leads the Warriors with 26.9 points and 4.9 assists per game while shooting 44.9% from the field, 42.5% from three, and 91.5% from the free throw line. His gravity and shot-making open up so much for his teammates. Thompson is the team’s second-leading scorer at 17 ppg.

Defensively, the Warriors have actually been much improved since mid-January. Over their last 23 games, Golden State has a defensive rating of 111.4, 7th best in the NBA. Green and Kevon Looney’s renewed commitment on that end has helped keep them afloat despite Curry’s injury and some offensive inconsistency.

Lakers Betting Analysis

The Lakers come into this game having split their last four contests, most recently falling to the Sacramento Kings 120-107 on the road Wednesday night. It was the fourth loss to the Kings this season for Los Angeles. LeBron James stuffed the stat sheet with 18 points, 13 rebounds and nine assists but shot just 6-18 from the field.

The bright spot was second-year guard Austin Reaves, who poured in a team-high 28 points on efficient 10-18 shooting. Reaves has been a revelation this season and one of the few constants for a Lakers squad that has endured a myriad of injuries.

11 early points on 4/4 for Austin Reaves 👀 pic.twitter.com/gOnx7TSJYz

— NBA TV (@NBATV) March 14, 2024

When healthy, the Lakers remain an extremely dangerous team capable of beating anyone. James is having another MVP-caliber season at age 39, averaging 25.2 points, 7.2 rebounds and eight assists. Anthony Davis has mostly stayed healthy and is putting up 24.7 points, 12.4 rebounds and 2.1 blocks. The duo forms one of the most talented star pairings in the league.

Defensively, the Lakers have been a mixed bag this year. They rank 22nd in defensive rating (115.1) and 25th in points allowed (117.2), but their personnel suggests they are better than those numbers.

Warriors vs Lakers Player Props

When it comes to the Warriors vs Lakers player props markets, there are no shortage of options. Check out our NBA player props page to get the best odds on a prop bet that is applicable to your specific betting region.

NBA player props as of March 16th from a variety of top sportsbook apps.

One player prop we are targeting is LeBron James over 26.5 points. James is putting up 29.5 points per game at age 39, and the public is low on him following his 18-point showing against the Kings.

He uncharacteristically went 6-18 shooting, so look for him to bounce back Saturday. In two games vs Golden State this year, LeBron is averaging 29 points.

• GS vs LAL Prop Pick: LeBron James Over 26.5 Points

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Warriors vs Lakers Prediction

This is a tough game to call, especially with the uncertainty surrounding Curry’s status. The Warriors are just 1-5 without him this season and their offense can look rudderless at times when he’s not on the floor. However, they did beat the Spurs on the road without him on Monday and seem to be finding their footing a bit more, particularly on defense.

The Lakers have been one of the hardest teams to peg all season. Their immense talent is undeniable but injuries and a lack of cohesion have led to maddening inconsistency. They’ve beaten the Bucks and lost to the Kings (twice) in the past two weeks alone. Still, they are 12-6 in their last 18 games overall and seem to be trending in the right direction as they get healthier.

Assuming Curry plays, I lean towards the Warriors +2.5 in this matchup. Curry’s return should provide an emotional boost and his offense is desperately needed. The Lakers’ defense is vulnerable, especially on the perimeter, so Curry, Thompson and Wiggins could have big nights if they get rolling.

The Lakers have also been shaky as favorites this year (15-23 ATS), while the Warriors have been solid as road dogs (10-6 ATS). In this matchup between two inconsistent but talented teams, I’ll take the points in what should be a competitive and entertaining affair.

Warriors vs Lakers Pick:

• Golden State +2.5 (-115)

The post Warriors vs Lakers Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (Saturday, Mar. 16) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Dallas Mavericks visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday night for a 10pm ET tipoff at Paycom Center. We’ve made our prediction for Mavs vs Thunder to help you place an educated wager on the game.

The Thunder opened as 6.5-point home favorites, but the line has soared to Thunder -11.5 with Mavericks superstar Luka Doncic officially ruled out due to left hamstring tightness. The over/under total has also shifted from 242.5 down to 234.5 points.

Let’s dive into our Mavs vs Thunder prediction, as we analyze the odds and determine the best bets (including props) to make for the game.

Dallas Mavericks vs OKC Thunder Odds

In the Mavericks vs Thunder odds, Oklahoma City is now a heavy -600 favorite on the moneyline, giving them an implied win probability of 86%.

The Mavericks beat the Thunder 146-111 in their last meeting on Feb. 10 in Dallas. But OKC is out for revenge at home and are heavy favorites to do do just that.

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Odds as of March 14, 2024, at ESPN Sportsbook. Sign up for ESPN Bet to bet on Mavericks vs Thunder. Bettors in North Carolina can visit the ESPN Bet app in NC for a unique offer. 

Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

The Mavericks (38-28) had won four straight games to climb to 8th in the West. However, they’ll be without Doncic, who leads the NBA in scoring (34.3 ppg) and usage rate (36.0%). Dallas is just 3-5 without him this season, averaging nearly nine fewer points per game.

Luka Doncic is OUT vs OKC tonight.

— Brandon Rahbar (@BrandonRahbar) March 14, 2024

Doncic’s absence is a massive blow for a Mavs offense that ranks 7th in Offensive Rating (116.1) but just 21st in Defensive Rating (116.7). During their recent four-game win streak, the defense stepped up, posting a 106.8 Defensive Rating that was tied for 3rd-best in the NBA. They’ll need that stingy D to continue without their MVP candidate.

Kyrie Irving (25.2 ppg) becomes the clear focal point offensively. He had 23 points and 10 assists in Wednesday’s win over the Warriors with Doncic limited. Tim Hardaway Jr. (16.0 ppg) is another perimeter threat who will need to shoulder more of the scoring load.

Notable Mavericks Stats & Trends:

• 35-30 ATS overall, 18-13 ATS on road
• 0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS as 8+ point underdogs without Doncic
• Under is 2-0-1 as 8+ point underdogs without Doncic
• Under is 4-3-1 overall in games Doncic missed

OKC Thunder Betting Analysis

The Thunder (45-20) sit atop the West but had their three-game win streak snapped in a 121-111 home loss to the Pacers on Tuesday. OKC lost to Dallas 146-111 on the road in their last meeting on Feb. 10, so they’ll be out for revenge.

The Thunder have been one of the NBA’s biggest surprises, leading the West at 45-20 behind a balanced attack. OKC ranks 3rd in Offensive Rating (119.0) and 5th in Defensive Rating (111.3), one of only two teams in the top-5 of both categories.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1 ppg) is an NBA MVP odds contender and coming off a 30-point, 10-rebound effort vs Indiana. Rookie Chet Holmgren (16.8 ppg, 7.8 rpg) has made a huge impact on both ends. The Thunder lead the NBA in blocks (6.7 per game), steals (8.2), and opponent turnovers forced (15.6). They allow the 4th-fewest points in the paint (46.9 per game).

Holmgren (+2500) trails heavy favorite Victor Wembanyama (-5000) of the Spurs by a wide margin in the latest NBA Rookie of the Year odds. However, he at least made it a competition for most of the season.

Notable Thunder Stats & Trends:

• 39-25 ATS overall, 26-7 SU at home
• 9-1 SU in last 10 home games
• Under is 7-1 in last 8 March games
• 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall
• Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs Mavericks

Mavs vs Thunder Player Props

Doncic’s injury has also shaken up the NBA player props, as several players now have higher projections than early this morning. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has the highest points total at 30.5, while Chet Holmgren sports the highest rebound projection (9.5).

NBA player prop odds as of March 14th at Caesars Sportsbook. Bettors in Raleigh can sign up at Caesars North Carolina.

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Among the Mavs vs Thunder props we are targeting is Kyrie Irving over 3.5 made threes. Irving is making 3.8 threes per game since joining Dallas and has cashed this over in six of his last eight outings. The Thunder allow the fourth-most made threes per game (13.4) in the NBA.

• Pick: Kyrie Irving Over 3.5 Made Threes (+112)

Another prop bet to target is Chet Holmgren over 9.5 rebounds. The Rookie has snagged 9+ boards in three straight and five of his last seven overall. The Mavs are a bottom-10 rebounding team, so the big man has the opportunity to clean up on the glass once again.

• Pick: Chet Holmgren Over 9.5 Rebounds (+116)

Dallas Mavericks vs OKC City Thunder Prediction

With Doncic out, I’m backing the Thunder to win and cover the inflated spread in a lower-scoring game. OKC has major edges defensively and on the glass, while their depth shines through with SGA leading a more balanced offensive approach.

The Mavs are 0-3 straight up and 1-2 ATS as 8+ point underdogs without their star this year, with the “under” going 2-0-1 in those contests. The Thunder, meanwhile, are 9-1 SU in their last 10 at home and should be motivated for payback after the 35-point loss in the last meeting.

For our Mavericks vs Thunder prediction, I’ll take the Thunder -10.5 & the under of 234.5 points. You can throw this into a same-game parlay to get plus-money odds. The under is 7-1 in OKC’s last eiht March games, and Doncic’s absence should help this trend continue.

DAL-OKC Picks:

• OKC ATS (-10.5 at BetMGM Best Line)
• Under 234.5 Points (-110)

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The Phoenix Suns visit the Boston Celtics on Thursday night in a marquee matchup between two of the NBA’s top teams. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET at TD Garden in Boston. The game will be televised nationally on TNT.

The Celtics enter as 5.5-point home favorites, with the over/under set at 227.5 points. These two teams played less than a week ago, with Boston prevailing 117-107 at Footprint Center.

Let’s dive into our Suns vs Celtics prediction, as we analyze the odds and provide our NBA picks for Thursday.

Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics Odds

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Odds as of March 14, 2024, at ESPN Bet. Sign up ESPN Bet to wager on Suns vs Celtics. Bettors in North Carolina can register at ESPN Bet North Carolina to place their wagers.

Phoenix Suns Betting Analysis

The Suns are coming off a 117-111 road win over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday. Devin Booker returned from a four-game absence due to an ankle injury to score 27 points in the victory. Kevin Durant led the way with 37 points, including 19 in the third quarter alone.

Prior to that, the Suns went 2-2 in the four games Booker missed. They suffered a 117-107 road loss in Boston last Saturday without star Devin Booker in the lineup. Durant exploded for 45 points in that contest. Overall, the Suns are 38-27 and tied for sixth in the Western Conference.

Kevin Durant was INCREDIBLE despite the loss against the Boston Celtics 🔥

🔸45 PTS
🔸10 REB
🔸6 AST

🔸18-of-26 FG
🔸4-of-7 3PT pic.twitter.com/OL7YWLJBL8

— ClutchPoints (@ClutchPoints) March 10, 2024

Durant ranks fourth in the NBA in scoring at 28.5 points per game. Booker is also having another outstanding season, averaging 27.5 points and 6.8 assists. The Suns’ offense revolves around their two superstars. The Suns rank in the top seven in both field goal and three-point percentage. Phoenix also moves the ball well, dishing out over 26 assists per game.

The Suns will be without Royce O’Neale, who is out with an ankle injury. Booker and Durant are good to go, which is crucial when making your Suns vs Celtics prediction.

Some key betting trends to note: the Suns are just 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last seven games overall. However, Frank Vogel’s team is 11-5 ATS in their previous 16 games vs the Celtics.

Boston Celtics Betting Trends

The Celtics have won three straight games after a rare two-game losing streak. They beat the Utah Jazz 123-107 on the road Tuesday night without Jaylen Brown, Al Horford, and Kristaps Porzingis. Role players like Luke Kornet, Xavier Tillman, and Oshae Brissett stepped up with the increased opportunity.

Boston is an NBA-best 51-14 overall and 29-3 at home. They went 3-2 on a recent road trip before returning home for this matchup with the Suns. The Celtics lead the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring 121.7 points per 100 possessions.

While Phoenix’s Durant and Booker will be a handful, Boston counters with their own dynamic duo of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. Tatum is a frontrunner in the NBA MVP odds, ranking seventh in the league in scoring (27.0 ppg) while also contributing 8.4 rebounds and 4.9 assists. His ability to score from all three levels makes him a tough cover.

In terms of Celtics injuries, Kristaps Porzingis has already been ruled out as he continues to deal with a hamstring strain. He’s missed the last three games. Brown (sacroiliac strain) and Al Horford (toe sprain) are both listed as questionable after sitting out Tuesday. Their statuses are worth monitoring.

The Celtics have been bettors’ friends in the NBA team trends, as they’ve covered the number in nine of their last 11 games overall. The total has also gone under in five of the Celtics’ last six games.

PHX vs BOS Matchup Stats

Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics Prediction

This should be a fantastic game between two of the league’s elite teams. The Celtics have the advantage of being at home, where they’ve been dominant. They are also a little deeper and more well-rounded than the Suns.

However, Phoenix has the best player in this game: Kevin Durant. He’s proven time and again that he can take over and win games by himself. If Booker is back in rhythm, too, the Suns will be tough to stop.

Kevin Durant deserves more credit for his elite defense this season 🔒 pic.twitter.com/U9VD3oL4hI

— NBACentral (@TheDunkCentral) March 12, 2024

Ultimately, I give a slight edge to the Celtics playing at TD Garden. The potential absences of Brown and Horford are concerning, but I still think Boston has enough firepower and chemistry to outscore the Suns.

Six points is too many in the NBA odds, though, and some sharps likely agree, as the line has come down from -6.5 to -5.5. Take the points with Phoenix, as they’ve shown the ability to keep it close against the Celtics.

Thursday NBA Pick:

• Phoenix Suns +5.5 (-105)

The post Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds & Betting Trends (Mar. 14) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Los Angeles Lakers (36-30) visit the Sacramento Kings (27-27) on Wednesday night for a pivotal Western Conference clash at the Golden 1 Center. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with the game televised on ESPN.

The Lakers have flipped to 2.5-point road favorites after opening as underdogs, with the over/under total dropping slightly to 236 points. Lakers vs Kings player props are available for Wednesday’s game, with oddsmakers expecting De’Aaron Fox to once again go off against this Lakers defense.

Let’s get into our Laker vs Kings prediction, as we breakdown the odds and determine the best player prop picks to make for this game.

LA Lakers vs Sacramento Kings Odds

In the Lakers vs Kings odds at ESPN Bet, Los Angeles is the slight -145 moneyline, giving them an implied win probability of 59%. Depending on your sportsbook, LA is now a 2.5—to 3.5-point favorite against the spread.

Both teams are jockeying for playoff positioning in the NBA Playoff Bracket as the regular season winds down. The Lakers currently sit in 9th place in the West at 36-30, while the Kings are 7th at 37-27.

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Odds as of March 13, 2024, at ESPN Bet. Use the ESPN Bet bonus code to bet on Lakers vs Kings. Make sure to manually enter promo code DIME when registering to get the full bonus. NC Sports bettors can visit ESPN Bet North Carolina.

Lakers vs Kings History

This will be the fourth and final meeting between the two Pacific Division rivals this season, with Sacramento winning the previous three matchups. In the past eight meetings, the Kings are 7-1 straight up and against the spread.

There’s plenty of offensive firepower on both these rosters and questionable defense, leading the “over” to cash in seven of the past nine meetings.

Lakers Betting Analysis

The Lakers enter this contest playing some of their best basketball of the season. They have won five of their last seven games, including impressive victories over the Milwaukee Bucks and Minnesota Timberwolves over the weekend.

In the 120-109 win against Minnesota on Sunday, Anthony Davis dominated with 27 points and a season-high 25 rebounds. LeBron James added 29 points after sitting out the previous game with ankle soreness. The Lakers shot a sizzling 56.5% from the field.

Anthony Davis with a SPECIAL performance tonight in LA 👏

🔥 27 PTS
🔥 25 REB
🔥 7 STL
🔥 5 AST
🔥 3 BLK

The first player ever with 25+ PTS, 25+ REB and 5+ STL in a game. pic.twitter.com/IXx1RhEWWJ

— NBA (@NBA) March 11, 2024

Davis is averaging 26.0 points, 12.4 rebounds and 2.1 blocks per game this season, while is James is putting up 29.5 points, 8.4 rebounds and 6.9 assists per game in his 20th NBA season at age 39. James sits just outside the top 10 in the NBA MVP odds.

Over their last 10 games, the Lakers are 6-4 straight up (SU) and 5-5 against the spread (ATS). The OVER has hit in seven of those contests. For the season, LA is 36-30 SU, 30-36 ATS, and 36-29-1 to the OVER.

Kings Betting Analysis

Sacramento saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Sunday in a surprising 133-124 home loss to the Houston Rockets. De’Aaron Fox led the way with 31 points and 11 assists, while Domantas Sabonis chipped in 16 points, 17 rebounds and 5 assists. However, the Kings allowed the Rockets to shoot 54.4% from the field.

The Kings bounced back on Tuesday with a dominant 129-94 home win over the Milwaukee Bucks. Fox scored 29 points and Sabonis had 22 points and 11 rebounds. Sacramento led by as many as 37 points in the blowout.

Fox is enjoying a career year, averaging 25.3 points and 6.2 assists per game. Sabonis has been a double-double machine, putting up 19.0 points, 12.4 rebounds and 7.2 assists per contest. The duo forms one of the most dynamic inside-out combinations in the league.

In terms of injuries, the Kings are listing Keegan Murray (left ankle sprain) and Kevin Huerter (right leg contusion) as questionable for tonight‘s game vs. the Lakers. Trey Lyles (left knee sprain), meanwhile, has been ruled out.

Over their last 10, the Kings are 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, and 3-7 to the UNDER. On the season, Sacramento is 37-27 SU, 32-31-1 ATS, and 34-30 to the OVER.

Lakers vs Kings Player Props

In the Lakers vs Kings player props, oddsmakers are projecting another big performance from Sacramento point guard De’Aaron Fox. He has the highest point projection in the game at 28.5, according to FanDuel. LeBron James’ player prop point total is set at 25.5.

NBA player prop odds as of Mar. 13 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Check out our NBA player props page, which automatically tells you the best odds for your region. FanDuel North Carolina is also available to NC sports bettors.

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Here are the Lakers vs Kings player prop bets we’re locking in tonight:

De’Aaron Fox Over 28.5 Points (-110)

Fox has been on a tear lately and is averaging 31.3 ppg against the Lakers this season. He should be able to use his speed to get to the rim and draw fouls. The over on his points prop is the play.

Anthony Davis Over 12.5 Rebounds (-115)

Davis is coming off a monster 25-rebound game and has always been a handful on the glass for the Kings. Sacramento plays a lot of small-ball lineups which should give AD plenty of rebounding opportunities. Take the over on his rebounding prop.

Keegan Murray Over 2.5 Made Threes (+135)

The rookie sharpshooter is not afraid to let it fly from deep. He’s made at least three triples in four straight games. At plus odds, the over on 2.5 made threes is worth a shot.

LA Lakers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

This game will likely come down to which team can get more defensive stops. Both the Lakers and Kings rank in the top 10 in the NBA in offensive efficiency, but in the bottom 10 in defensive efficiency.

The Lakers have the edge on the glass, ranking 5th in rebounding percentage compared to 18th for the Kings. LA crashes the offensive boards hard led by Davis. However, Sacramento takes much better care of the ball. The Kings rank 3rd in turnover percentage, while the Lakers are just 23rd.

The Lakers have flipped to road favorites in this spot, likely due to the injury uncertainty surrounding the Kings. While Sacramento has owned this matchup recently, I still lean towards LA to get the win and cover on Wednesday night.

The Lakers are also 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 14-5 SU in their last 19 against Western Conference opponents. Meanwhile, the Kings are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Lay the short number with the Lakers.

LA-SAC Picks:

• Lakers -2.5 (-112 at FanDuel best odds )

The post LA Lakers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (Mar. 13) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Denver Nuggets (45-20) visit the Miami Heat (35-29) on Wednesday, March 13th at the Kaseya Center in Miami. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30pm ET and the game will be televised on ESPN.

The Nuggets are currently tied with the Thunder for the best record in the Western Conference, while the Heat sit in 8th place in the East but are just 2.5 games out of the 4th seed. Per the NBA odds, the Nuggets are 4-point favorites with an over/under of 215 points.

Let’s delve into our Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat prediction, as we analyze the odds and determine the best player prop bets to make.

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Odds

In the Nuggets vs Heat odds, Denver is the -150 road favorite, giving them an implied win probability of 60%.

In the NBA Championship odds, the Nuggets are currently the second betting choice to repeat at +420, while the Heat are a +3040 longshot.

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Odds as of March 13, 2024, at ESPN Sportsbook. Claim the ESPN Bet new user promo to bet on Nuggets vs Heat. NC sports bettors can sign up at ESPN Bet North Carolina to wager on the game.

Nuggets Led by Joker

The Nuggets enter this matchup red hot, having won eight of their last 10 games. Most recently, they defeated the Raptors 125-119 behind a monster triple-double from Nikola Jokic – 35 points, 17 rebounds, 12 assists and a season-high six steals.

Jokic is having another MVP-caliber season, ranking 4th in the NBA in rebounds (12.3 per game) and assists (9.2) while scoring 26.2 points per contest. Per the updated NBA MVP odds, Jokic has the best odds to win at -160.

From last night: Nikola Jokic fake ties his shoe in front of the referee and Celtics inbounder to buy the Nuggets extra time to see if they should challenge the call. pic.twitter.com/s3F5WNU8HH

— Harrison Wind (@HarrisonWind) March 8, 2024

The Nuggets boast the 4th most efficient offense in the league, scoring 115.0 points per 100 possessions. They are an excellent shooting team, ranking 4th in field goal percentage (49.6%). In addition to Jokic’s brilliance, Jamal Murray provides dynamic scoring, averaging 21.1 points. Michael Porter Jr. (16.6 ppg) spaces the floor as an elite 3-point shooter at 39.7%.

Defensively, the Nuggets allow 110.5 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 15th. They are a strong rebounding team, though, pulling down 44.3 boards per game (9th). Jokic anchors the defense with his size and instincts.

Heat Missing Herro

The Heat come into this game struggling, having lost three straight to the Mavericks, Thunder and Wizards. Against Washington, they allowed Kyle Kuzma to score 32 points in the Wizards’ first road win since January 29th.

Miami has really missed the scoring punch of Tyler Herro, who remains out with a foot injury. In his absence, Jimmy Butler is leading the team with 21.7 points per game. Bam Adebayo is a nightly double-double threat, averaging 19.9 points and 10.4 rebounds.

The Heat acquired veteran point guard Terry Rozier at the trade deadline from Charlotte, and he’s chipping in 16.8 points and 4.2 assists in 30.1 minutes per game.

Offensively, the Heat rank just 27th in scoring at 110.5 points per game. They shoot 46.5% from the field as a team, which is tied for 21st. Creating efficient offense has been a challenge without Herro’s shot creation.

However, Miami hangs its hat on the defensive end. Since January 31st, the Heat have the 3rd best defensive rating, allowing just 108.5 points per 100 possessions. Their ability to get stops and force turnovers keeps them competitive even when the offense sputters.

Nuggets vs Heat Player Props

There are no shortage of NBA player props available for the Nuggets vs Heats showdown on Tuesday night. Here are some of the Nuggets vs Heat prop bets we are looking to lock in tonight:

Nikola Jokic over 27.5 points (-110): Jokic has topped this number in seven of his last 10 games and should feast against a Heat frontcourt that struggles on the glass. Back the MVP favorite to fill it up.

Jimmy Butler over 5.5 assists (+105): With Herro out, Butler will be asked to create even more offense for his teammates. He’s had at least six dimes in four straight games. At plus odds, this is a strong value play.

Jamal Murray over 2.5 made threes (-135): Murray is shooting a blistering 41.2% from deep this season. The Heat allow the 4th most made triples per game (13.1). Expect Murray to hit at least a trio of treys.

Bam Adebayo double-double (-175): Adebayo has recorded a double-double in eight of his last 10 contests. Even in a tough matchup with Jokic, he should be able to reach this milestone again. Eat the chalk.

Nuggets vs Heat Prediction

This should be a competitive, hard-fought game, but the Nuggets simply have too much firepower, especially with Herro still sidelined for Miami. Jokic is playing at an otherworldly level right now and has a favorable matchup against a Heat team that ranks just 24th in rebounding. Murray and Porter space the floor for Jokic to operate inside.

The Heat will scrap and claw defensively to stay in it, but unless Butler has a huge scoring night, it’s hard to see them generating enough offense to keep up with Denver. The Nuggets’ depth and shooting are problematic for a short-handed Miami squad.

In the end, look for the Nuggets to pull away in the 4th quarter as Jokic and Murray hit some clutch buckets. The Heat will battle but come up short.

DEN-MIA Pick:

• Nuggets -3.5 (-105 at ESPN Bet )

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For the third straight game, the Golden State Warriors (34-30, 17-13 away, ATS) will hit the court without Steph Curry on Wednesday when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (37-28, 19-15 home, ATS) at American Airlines Center at 7:40 pm CT/8:40 pm ET.

The Warriors managed to get back in the win column last time out, beating the Spurs (112-102) in San Antonio. But oddsmakers heavily favor the Mavs at home against the shorthanded Dubs on Wednesday night.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

Dallas is a 7.5-point home favorite in Wednesday’s NBA odds and -280 on the moneyline. The Warriors are +230 to win straight-up, while the game total is sitting at 232.5. .

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Odds as of March 13 at ESPN Bet. Download the ESPN Bet app and apply the ESPN Bet offer to wager on Warriors vs Mavericks.

Dallas holds the #8 seed in the West in the NBA playoff bracket at the moment, but are just one game back of #6 Phoenix with #7 Sacramento in between. The Warriors would be the #10 seed if the postseason started today. They are one game back of the #9 Lakers but 3.5 games out of an all-important top-six spot.

Golden State Trying to Tread Water Without Steph

When Curry went down late in the fourth quarter against the Chicago Bulls last Thursday, the Warriors had a three-point lead at home with under four minutes to play. But Golden State would go on to lose 125-122 to the sub-.500 Bulls, and things only got worse next game.

Golden State was borderline uncompetitive in a 126-113 home loss to the Spurs, who sit last in the West and were just 6-29 on the road prior to the win. San Antonio had a 19-point lead at halftime.

The Dubs got a measure of revenge in the back end of a home-and-home with the Spurs, though, winning 112-102 in San Antonio on Monday, led by 22 points from rising star Jonathan Kuminga.

Inserted back into the starting lineup, Klay Thompson added 21 points, going 4-of-10 from three. Chris Paul had one of his best games in a Warriors uniform, with 19 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists.

Doncic Powers Mavs to Three Straight Wins

Luka Doncic is on a torrid triple-double streak unlike anything the league has seen before. Doncic has recorded seven straight triple-doubles, and had scored at least 30 points in ten straight games before being “held” to just 27 in a 127-92 rout of Chicago last time out. He’s still a distant third-favorite to Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in 2024 NBA MVP odds but is trending up in that market.

Kyrie Irving (25.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 4.9 APG) had a run of four straight 20-point games ended at Chicago, as well, scoring just 14 points on a night when the Mavs secondary scorers chipped in more than usual.

As a team, the Mavs have won three straight. In addition to the lopsided win at Chicago, they also downed Miami (114-108 home) and Detroit (142-124 away).

Dallas is currently sixth in the NBA in O-Rating (118.1) but just 22nd in D-Rating (116.9) and 14th in point differential (+1.3), which is actually slightly behind Golden State, despite sitting 2.5 games ahead of the Dubs in the standings.

Warriors vs Mavericks Player Props

Player props from DraftKings on March 6. Claim a DraftKings North Carolina promo prior to launch in NC on March 11. 

Doncic leads the Golden State vs Dallas player props in every single category, with a point total of 34.5, assist total of 10.5, rebound total of 9.5, and three-point total of 4.5. His over/under is at least two higher than every other player in every category, aside from made-threes, where Klay Thompson is at 3.5.

Golden State vs Dallas Prediction

The Warriors were able to eke out a win against the lowly Spurs last time out, but on the whole their performance without Curry has been concerning (as it usually is). Dallas, on the other hand, is as healthy as its been all season and, in particular on offense, playing some of its best basketball of the season. I expect the Mavs to boatrace the shorthanded Warriors.

Warriors vs Mavericks pick: Mavericks -7 (-110) at DraftKings

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

• 17-23 moneyline (+2.06 units)
• 19-17-2 ATS (+1.41 units)
• 0-1 over/under (-100 units)
• 7-12 player props (-6.82 units)
• 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise 

The post Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Odds, Player Props & Predictions (March 13) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Philadelphia 76ers and New York Knicks continue a two-game set with a showdown at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday evening. The game will be nationally televised on TNT, with tip off scheduled for 7:30 pm et.

The NBA latest odds price the Knicks as 5-5-point home favorites for the second of a two-game set. The over/under is set at 208.5 points, while NBA player props are also available for the showdown.

Let’s dive into our 76ers vs Knicks prediction, as we analyze the odds and determine the best bets to make.

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks Odds

In the Tuesday NBA odds, the New York Knicks are -250 moneyline favorites over the Philadelphia 76ers, giving them an implied win probability of 71%.

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76ers vs Knicks History

This will be the fourth and final regular-season meeting between the 76ers and Knicks. New York leads the series 2-1.

PHI-NY Recent Results

The Knicks blew out the Sixers in the first two matchups, both in Philadelphia. But the 76ers got some revenge with a 79-73 win at MSG on Sunday behind 18 points and 10 rebounds from Kelly Oubre Jr.

In the three previous games, the Knicks have held Philly to an average of just 95.0 points per game. The 76ers will need to find some offensive answers to avoid a season series loss.

76ers Betting Analysis

The 76ers come into this matchup with a 36-28 record, good for sixth place in the Eastern Conference. They are looking to bounce back after a lackluster 79-73 win over these same Knicks on Sunday. In that game, both teams shot under 40% from the field in an ugly defensive battle.

Philadelphia has struggled lately, losing seven of their last 11 games overall. The absence of NBA MVP odds contender Joel Embiid, who has been out since January 30th with a knee injury, has been a major factor. In the 18 games without Embiid, the Sixers are just 7-11 while shooting a paltry 44.3% from the field as a team, third worst in the NBA over that span.

Sixers this season:

With Embiid: Without Embiid:
— 26-8 record — 10-20 record
— 6th in defense — 25th in defense
— 1st in offense — 22nd in offense
— 2nd in net rating — 24th in net rating

They're really struggling to figure it out without Embiid pic.twitter.com/zJhOIkYwMF

— NBA World (@NBAW0RLD24) March 12, 2024

There is some good news for Philly though, as star guard Tyrese Maxey has cleared concussion protocol and is expected to return to the lineup after missing the last four games. Maxey’s presence will be a big boost, as he ranks 14th in the NBA in scoring at 26.0 points per game.

In Embiid’s absence, the Sixers have relied heavily on Tobias Harris and the recently acquired Kelly Oubre Jr. Harris is averaging 18.8 points and 6.8 rebounds on the season, while Oubre has scored 18+ points in five straight games. Veteran point guard Kyle Lowry and backup big Mo Bamba will also be counted on for key contributions.

As a team, the 76ers rank 14th in the league in scoring (115.9 ppg) and 19th in rebounding (43.0 rpg). Defensively, they allow 113.0 points per game, 13th best in the NBA.

Knicks Betting Analysis

The Knicks come in with a 37-27 record, sitting in fourth place in the East. They have lost nine of their last 13 games overall to slide down the standings a bit. Most recently, they scored a season-low 73 points in an ugly loss to the 76ers on Sunday.

New York could get a big boost with the potential return of forward OG Anunoby, who has missed the last 18 games with an elbow injury. Anunoby is officially listed as questionable for this game per the injury report.

Knicks forward OG Anunoby – out since Jan. 27 with elbow injury – is expected to return as soon as Tuesday vs. 76ers, sources tell @TheAthletic @Stadium. He's expected to be upgraded on injury report. pic.twitter.com/AcsECtLgkN

— Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) March 11, 2024

In Anunoby’s absence, offseason acquisition Josh Hart has stepped up in a major way. Over his last eight games, Hart is averaging 16.5 points, 11.3 rebounds, 5.9 assists, 2.5 threes, and 1.1 steals. He forms a dynamic backcourt duo with star point guard Jalen Brunson, who ranks seventh in the NBA in scoring at 27.1 points per game.

The Knicks’ calling card is their defense, as they rank second in the league allowing just 108.8 points per game. Offensively, they are a middle-of-the-pack team, ranking 23rd in scoring (112.4 ppg) and 29th in assists (23.8 apg).

In addition to Brunson and Hart, key contributors for New York include Donte DiVincenzo, Precious Achiuwa, and Isaiah Hartenstein. The Knicks are a deep team that will look to use their strong defense to slow down the 76ers.

76ers vs Knicks Player Props

In the NBA player props market, oddsmakers have set Knicks forward Jalen Brunson with the highest point total on the board at 27.5. We’ve highlighted a few of our favorite Philadelphia vs New York player props further below the table.

Player props as of Mar. 12 at our top sportsbook apps.

Tyrese Maxey OVER 2.5 Made Threes

Maxey is expected to return from a four-game absence due to a concussion. On the season, he is averaging 3.1 made threes per game. The Knicks allow the 6th most threes per game to opposing point guards (3.4).  Look for Maxey to get plenty of open looks from deep as the 76ers try to space the floor.

Donte DiVincenzo OVER 1.5 Steals + Blocks

DiVincenzo has picked up his defensive activity lately, recording multiple steals in four of his last six games. For the season, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.6 blocks per game. The 76ers play at the 6th fastest pace in the NBA, which should lead to more possessions and opportunities for DiVincenzo to rack up defensive stats

76ers vs Knicks Prediction

This shapes up to be another defensive battle, with both teams ranking in the top-13 in points allowed. The potential return of OG Anunoby would be a big boost to an already stout Knicks defense.

For the 76ers, the return of Tyrese Maxey is huge, but there are questions about how effective he’ll be after missing time with a concussion. Philly really struggles to score consistently without Joel Embiid as the focal point.

At home, I give the edge to the Knicks here. Jalen Brunson and Josh Hart are playing at a high level, and role players like Achiuwa and DiVincenzo have stepped up lately. Look for New York to control the pace and grind out a win.

I also lean towards the Under 208.5 points in the NBA odds. These teams combined for just 152 points a few days ago, and I expect another slow-paced, physical game. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Knicks vs Sixers Picks:

• Knicks -5.5 (-115)
• Under 208.5 Points (-110)

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Looking for just their third multi-game win streak of the season, the Charlotte Hornets (16-48, 7-25 away, 26-38-0 ATS) visit the league-worst Detroit Pistons (10-53, 5-26 home, 31-31-1 ATS) on Monday night at Little Caesars Arena (7:10 pm ET).

Detroit, however, has already beaten Charlotte twice this season and oddsmakers have established the Pistons as 4.5-point home-court favorites on Monday.

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons Odds

Detroit is sitting at -175 on the moneyline with the Hornets at +150. The game total of 217.5 is the lowest in of the six games in Monday’s NBA odds.

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The Pistons will officially be eliminated from the NBA playoff bracket with a loss tonight, while the Hornets are 13 games behind #10 Atlanta with just 18 games remaining.

Charlotte Uses Big Second Quarter to Defeat Nets

Facing Brooklyn on Saturday, Charlotte found itself in a familiar position after the first quarter: losing. But the Hornets erased the four-point gap – and then some – during a 32-17 second quarter, which gave Charlotte a lead it wouldn’t surrender en route to a 110-99 win.

Miles Bridges had a team-high 24 points in the win on 10-of-15 shooting along with 10 rebounds and four assists, while Brandon Miller added 23 points. Center Nick Richards (15 points, 11 rebounds) and point guard Vasilije Micic (12 points, 10 assists) both had double-doubles in the win, which snapped a six-game losing streak for the Hornets.

Despite the win on Saturday, Charlotte remains dead-last in the NBA in both point differential (-10.1) and Net Rating (-10.4). They are in the bottom three in both Offensive Rating (108.6, 29th) and Defensive Rating (118.9, 28th).

LaMelo Ball (ankle tendinopathy) has missed 21 straight games for the Hornets and there is no indication that he will return to Charlotte’s NBA lineup tonight.

Pistons Give up 142 in Loss to Dallas

Detroit had its second-worst defensive performance of the season last time out, getting blown out 142-124 at home by the Dallas Mavericks. Other than a 146-114 loss to Milwaukee in mid-December, 142 is the most points Detroit has given up in regulation this season.

Cade Cunningham had a team-high 33 points and 10 assists in the loss while Simone Fontecchio added 27 off the bench on 9-of-13 shooting (including 4-of-5 from three) but Detroit committed 19 turnovers, sent Dallas to the line 32 times, and allowed the Mavs to shoot 55.4% from the floor.

Detroit is now 25th in the league in O-Rating (110.8), 29th in D-Rating (119.4), and 28th in Net Rating (-8.6), only ahead of Charlotte and Washington.

Some good news for Detroit is that recently-acquired point guard Quentin Grimes (7.1 PPG) is listed as probable to return from a knee injury on Monday night.

CHA vs DET Player Props

Player props as of March 11  at DraftKings. Click here to download the DraftKings app North Carolina.

Cunningham, who’s averaging a team-high 22.6 PPG this season for Detroit, is listed with the highest point total in the Hornets vs Pistons NBA player props at 23.5, narrowly ahead of Bridges (22.5), who is at 21.3 PPG this season.

Facing a Charlotte group that sits fourth-last in the NBA in rebound percentage (48.0%), Detroit center Jalen Duren has a rebound total of 12.5, nearly a full rebound over his average of 11.7.

Hornets vs Pistons Prediction

The Pistons have had the Hornets’ number so far this season, winning 111-99 in Charlotte in the second game of the season and 113-106 in Detroit on Jan. 24. But they have no semblance of home-court advantage this year, going 5-26 at home and 5-27 on the road. Charlotte also has similar home/road splits (9-23 at home and 7-25 on the road).

There is no real talent disparity between the teams, and I like the Hornets to win straight-up at significant plus-money.

Charlotte vs Detroit pick: Hornets moneyline (+170)

How to Bet Hornets vs Pistons

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Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

• 17-22 moneyline (+3.06 units)
• 19-17-2 ATS (+1.41 units)
• 0-1 over/under (-100 units)
• 7-12 player props (-6.82 units)
• 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise 

The post Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons Odds, Spread, Props & Predictions for March 11 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Coming off a disappointing OT loss in Cleveland on Friday, the Minnesota Timberwolves (44-20, 21-12 away, 31-31-2 ATS) continue a six-game road trip on Sunday night against the Los Angeles Lakers (35-30, 23-11 home, 30-36 ATS) at crypto.com Arena at 6:40 pm PT/9:40 pm ET.

With a solid 23-11 record at home this season, Los Angeles is listed as a slight 1.5-point favorite over Minnesota in the T-Wolves vs Lakers odds for March 10.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers Odds

LA is also a slim -120 moneyline favorite with the T-Wolves at even money to win straight-up in Sunday’s NBA odds. The Lakers are just 10-13 ATS as home favorites this season while Minnesota is 6-6 ATS as road underdogs.

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Thanks to a pair of ugly home losses from Golden State, the Lakers are back in ninth in the West in the NBA playoff bracket, one game up on the Warriors and 1.5 behind the #8 Dallas Mavericks.

Minnesota is the #2 seed at the moment, half a game behind OKC for top seed and tied with #3 Denver, record-wise.

Lakers Eke Out Win vs Bucks

Los Angeles comes into Sunday off a 123-122 win over Milwaukee on Friday night without LeBron James. D’Angelo Russell had a season-high 44 points and the Lakers, as a team, committed just five turnovers in the entire 48 minutes, helping to overcome a 43-38 deficit on the glass against the Bucks.

With the win, LA has now alternated wins and losses over its last five games but has managed to go 6-4 in its last ten.

As it often has this season, the Lakers’ injury report is lengthy on Sunday. LeBron (25.3 PPG, 8.0 APG, 7.1 RPG) is questionable with an ankle injury while Anthony Davis (24.7 PPG, 12. 3 RPG) is questionable with a sore shoulder. Cam Reddish (6.2 PPG) is listed as probable due to ank ankle injury while Christian Wood (6.9 PPG) is out with a knee issue.

Minnesota won both previous meetings between the teams this season: 118-111 on Dec 21, and 108-106 on Dec. 30. Both games were at the Target Center in Minneapolis.

T-Wolves Drop OT Thriller to Cavaliers

“Thriller” might be a bit of an overstatement for a game in which the Timberwolves scores just 17 points in the entire fourth quarter, but Friday’s 113-104 loss to the Cavaliers was certainly dramatic.

Other than 34 points off the bench from Naz Reid, Minnesota’s offense was on life support against Cleveland. Leading scorer Anthony Edwards had 19 points but was just 7-of-27 from the floor and 0-of-7 from three. Rudy Gobert grabbed 17 rebounds but Minnesota still finished -1 on the glass.

With another solid defensive performance, in which the T-Wolves held Cleveland to just 97 points in regulation, Minnesota improved it’s already-league-leading Defensive Rating to 108.1.

Their O-Rating, however, dropped to just 114.4, 18th in the NBA.

T-Wolves vs Lakers Player Props

Player props as of March 10  at DraftKings. Click here to download the DraftKings app North Carolina.

Despite his abysmal 7-of-27 performance last time out, Edwards is listed with a game-high point total of 31.5. LeBron (24.5) and AD (23.5) are both well over 20, as well. If either doesn’t suit up, wagers on their NBA player props will be voided.

Timberwolves vs Lakers Prediction

The Lakers offense has put on some impressive performances this season but, overall, is just 17th in the league in efficiency (114.9 O-Rating). Facing Minnesota’s league-best defense – either without James and/or Davis, or with their stars less than 100% – I expect LA’s offense to struggle. D-Lo can’t be counted on for 30-plus and LA’s injuries go deeper than just their stars.

MIN vs LAL pick: Lakers first-half under 54.5 (-125)

Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

• 17-21 moneyline (+4.06 units)
• 19-17-2 ATS (+1.41 units)
• 7-12 player props (-6.82 units)
• 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise 

The post Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers Player Props, Picks & Predictions (March 10) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Two of the top-five favorites in the NBA title odds square off on Sunday afternoon when the Milwaukee Bucks (41-23, 19-11 away, 27-36-1 ATS) visit the LA Clippers (41-21, 22-8 home, 32-30 ATS) at crypto.com Arena at 12:10 pm PT/3:10 pm ET.

The Bucks come in on a rare two-game losing streak but, with the Clippers playing their second game in as many days, Milwaukee is nonetheless a 5.5-point road favorite over LA in Sunday’s Bucks vs Clippers odds.

Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers Odds

The Bucks, who beat LAC 113-106 at home last week without Giannis Antetokounmpo, should have their star forward in the lineup on Sunday. Giannis (right knee tendinitis) is listed as probable.

In addition to being 4.5-point ATS favorites, Milwaukee is also -200 on the moneyline to win straight-up, while the Clippers come back at +170. The over/under is sitting at 222.5 with -110 odds both ways.

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The Clippers are currently the third-favorite in the NBA championship odds at +490, followed by the Bucks in fourth at +700. Residing in the East with the favored Celtics, Milwaukee is perceived to have a tougher road to the NBA Finals.

Bucks Drop Back-to-Back Games

Milwaukee enters Sunday on a two game skid, losing a lopsided 125-90 decision to Golden State before falling by a point (123-122) to the Lakers at crypto.com Arena on Friday. Giannis had a team-high 34 points, 14 rebounds, and 12 assists in the loss while shooting an efficient 14-of-23 from the floor.

A not uncommon occurrence this season, Milwaukee’s perimeter defense was subpar. D’Angelo Russell dropped 44 points for the Lakers who shot 47.1% from beyond the arc as a team.

The post Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers Odds, Player Props & Predictions (March 10) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Boston Celtics (48-14) will visit the Phoenix Suns (37-26) on Saturday night at the Footprint Center in Phoenix. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 PM ET, and the game will be televised nationally on ABC.

The Celtics opened as 5.5-point road favorites with an over/under of 226.5 points. NBA player props are also released, with oddsmakers projecting big performances from key players Jayson Tatum and Kevin Durant.

Let’s get into our Celtics vs Suns prediction, as we analyze the game odds and provide the best NBA player props to bet.

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns Odds

In the Celtics vs Suns odds for Saturday, Boston is the -210 moneyline favorite, giving them an implied win probability of 68%.

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Odds as of March 9, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Claim the BetMGM welcome offer to bet on Celtics vs Suns on ABC. North Carolina residents can pre-register at BetMGM North Carolina for a unique sign-up offer,

Celtics Betting Trends

The Celtics are looking to bounce back after suffering their first two-game losing streak of the season. Boston had its 11-game winning streak snapped in a stunning 105-104 loss at Cleveland on Tuesday, blowing a 22-point fourth-quarter lead. They followed that up with a 115-109 defeat at Denver on Thursday despite 41 points and 14 rebounds from Jaylen Brown.

Prior to the mini-skid, the Celtics had been on an absolute tear, winning 11 straight and 17 of 18 overall. During the 11-game streak, Boston went 7-4 against the spread (ATS) and averaged 124.5 points per game.

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🎙️ @985TheSportsHub #DifferentHere pic.twitter.com/3p1Pw78RUT

— Boston Celtics (@celtics) March 9, 2024

The Celtics are an offensive juggernaut led by the superstar duo of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. Tatum is a frontrunner in the NBA MVP odds, averaging over 30 points per game, while Brown is an elite second option who can take over when needed, as evidenced by his 41-point outburst against Denver.

Adding Kristaps Porzingis and Jrue Holiday has taken Boston’s offense to another level. Porzingis provides floor spacing and rim protection, while Holiday is a perfect fit as a two-way playmaker. The Celtics’ starting five, with those four plus Derrick White, is the best unit in the NBA.

For the season, the Celtics boast the NBA’s best record at 48-14. They rank first in the league in offensive rating (120.8 points per 100 possessions), second in defensive rating (110.1), and first in net rating (+10.7). Boston is 29-32-1 ATS overall and 12-15-3 ATS on the road.

Celtics Injury Report

• Jayson Tatum (ankle) probable
• Jaylen Brown (sacroiliac) questionable

Suns Betting Trends

The Suns enter this matchup riding a two-game winning streak after beating Denver 117-107 in overtime on Tuesday and Toronto 120-113 on Thursday. Kevin Durant led the way in both victories, scoring 35 points in each contest.

Phoenix has won six of its last eight games overall to improve to 37-26 on the season, good for sixth place in the Western Conference. The Suns are 25-36-2 ATS for the year, including a dismal 12-21-1 ATS mark at home.

The Suns rank seventh in the NBA in offensive rating (117.1) and 17th in defensive rating (114.1) for a net rating of +3.0 (10th). They play at the league’s second-slowest pace.

The Suns are hoping to have Devin Booker back in the lineup after he missed the last three games with an ankle sprain. Booker’s availability completely changes the dynamic of this matchup, as he forms a nearly unstoppable offensive trio with Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal.

Even if Booker can’t go, the Suns still have enough firepower to keep up with the Celtics. Durant hasbeen on a tear since joining Phoenix, averaging 29.5 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 5.2 assists since arriving at last year’s deadline. He’s a matchup nightmare for any defender with his size and skill.

The X-factor for Phoenix could be Grayson Allen, who has been on fire from three-point range. Allen has made 15 triples in his last two games and is shooting a blistering 47.5% from deep on the season. His ability to space the floor is crucial for the Suns’ offense.

Suns Injury Report

• Devin Booker (ankle) questionable
• Josh Okogie (abdomen) out

Celtics vs Suns Player Props

Celtics vs Suns player props are available at a wide variety of sports betting apps. Oddsmakers are expecting Tatum and Durant to light up the scoresheet on Saturday, as both stars have projected point totals near the 30-range.

NBA player props collected from a variety of the best sports betting apps.

One intriguing player prop to consider is Kristaps Porzingis over 21.5 points. Porzingis has been on a tear lately, scoring over 21.5 points in each of his last five games. With his ability to stretch the floor and score inside, he should have plenty of opportunities against the Suns’ defense.

Another prop to look at is Kevin Durant under 28.5 points. While Durant has been sensational since joining the Suns, the Celtics have the defensive personnel to make things difficult for him. With long, versatile defenders like Tatum, Brown, and Porzingis, Boston may be able to limit Durant’s efficiency and keep him under his scoring prop.

For a higher risk, higher reward option, consider Grayson Allen over 3.5 made three-pointers. Allen has been scorching hot from deep, draining eight triples in each of his last two games. If he continues to get open looks and shoot with confidence, Allen could easily surpass 3.5 made threes, especially if the Celtics focus their defensive attention on Durant and Beal.

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

This should be a highly entertaining matchup between two of the most talented teams in the NBA. The Celtics are rightfully favored on the road, as they’ve been the best and most consistent team all season. The potential absence of Devin Booker also looms large for Phoenix.

However, the Suns have been tough to beat at home and will be extremely motivated to prove they can hang with the NBA’s elite. Kevin Durant is more than capable of putting the team on his back, and guys like Beal and Allen are very dangerous as complementary scorers.

Ultimately, the Celtics just have too much firepower and defensive versatility. Expect a high-scoring affair, but for Boston to pull away late for a 5-10-point victory and cover the 5.5-point spread. The over 226.5 points also looks like a good bet given the offensive talent on both sides.

• Celtics -5.5 (-105)
• Over 226.5 points (-110)

The post Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (Mar. 9) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Milwaukee Bucks (41-22) visit the Los Angeles Lakers (34-30) on Friday night for a star-studded showdown at Crypto.com Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with the game televised nationally on ESPN.

According to ESPN Bet, the Bucks opened as 2.5-point road favorites with an over/under of 232.5 points. Player props, including points, rebounds, and assists totals for star players such as LeBron James and Giannis Antetokounmpo, are also available.

Let’s delve into our Bucks vs Lakers prediction, as we analyze the odds and provide player props to bet.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Lakers Odds

In the Bucks vs Lakers odds, Milwaukee is a -135 favorite on the moneyline, giving them 57% implied win probability.

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Odds as of March 8th, 2024 at ESPN Bet. Apply SBD’s latest ESPN Bet promotion to wager on Bucks vs. Lakers tonight. North Carolina sports bettors can visit the ESPN Bet app in NC for a unique sign-up offer ahead of the launch. 

Milwaukee Betting Analysis

Milwaukee saw its six-game winning streak come to an abrupt halt on Wednesday in a 125-90 blowout loss to the Golden State Warriors. The Bucks allowed the Warriors to shoot a blistering 48.7% from three-point range while only connecting on 28.2% of their own threes.

Giannis Antetokounmpo returned from a one-game absence to lead the Bucks with 23 points, but it wasn’t nearly enough. Prior to that setback, the Bucks had been rolling, holding four of their previous six opponents under 100 points.

Giannis couldn't miss from deep at shootaround… pic.twitter.com/aMpvze1w7P

— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) March 6, 2024

Damian Lillard has been on fire from deep, knocking down 23 of 52 threes (44.2%) over his last six games. Giannis continues to put up MVP numbers, averaging 30.7 points, 11.2 rebounds and 6.3 assists on 61.8% shooting this season. He’s +1475 in the NBA MVP Odds.

The Bucks are a solid 41-22 overall but just 16-15 on the road. They rank 5th in offensive rating (119.3) and 15th in defensive rating (115.5). Milwaukee is 27-36 against the spread and the under has hit in 23 of their last 32 games.

In terms of the Bucks injury report, Khris Middleton remains out with an ankle injury. He has missed the last 12 games. Giannis is probable with left Achilles tendinitis that sidelined him on Monday.

Los Angeles Betting Analysis

The Lakers had their momentum halted in a 130-120 home loss to the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday despite leading by 19 points in the first quarter. LA has now dropped two of their last three after winning seven of their previous eight games.

LeBron James led the Lakers with 31 points and 13 assists before exiting late with a sore left ankle. His status for Friday is questionable. Anthony Davis was limited to just 14 points in 24 minutes as he battled foul trouble all night.

THE FIRST PLAYER TO EVER SCORE 40K POINTS IN NBA HISTORY

LEBRON JAMES 👑 pic.twitter.com/wfOJJcoXEY

— Complex Sports (@ComplexSports) March 3, 2024

Los Angeles is clinging to the 10th seed in the West at 34-30 overall and 22-11 at home. They are 18th in offensive rating (115.3) and 17th in defensive rating (115.8). The Lakers are 28-36 against the spread and have covered in 35 of their last 49 home games.

Per the Lakers injury report, James will likely be a game-time decision with the aforementioned ankle injury.

Bucks vs Lakers Player Props

There are no shortage of NBA player props available for the Bucks vs Lakers game, including points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made. Giannis Antetokounmpo is projected to have the biggest game, with Caesars setting his over/under point total at 31.5.

Odds as of March 8th, 2024 at Caesars Sportsbook. Bettors in the Tar Heel State can claim the Caesars Sportsbook North Carolina promo. 

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In addition to our side and total picks further below, there are several intriguing player props to consider for this star-studded matchup. Here are a few that stand out:

Giannis Antetokounmpo over 31.5 points: Giannis has been on an absolute tear lately, averaging 35.2 points on 63% shooting over his last five games. He put up 23 points in just 26 minutes vs the Warriors, so he should be fresh for this one. The Lakers don’t have a great matchup for Giannis defensively. Expect him to be aggressive attacking the rim all night.

Anthony Davis over 11.5 rebounds: AD has grabbed 12 or more boards in three straight and five of his last six games. He’s averaging 12.7 rebounds in three meetings with the Bucks over the past two seasons. With LeBron banged up, the Lakers will need Davis to control the glass and create extra possessions. This is a favorable rebounding matchup for him.

Bucks vs Lakers Prediction

While the Bucks are slight road favorites, this feels like a toss-up game that could go either way, especially if LeBron suits up. The Lakers have been excellent at home and are playing better overall despite the loss to the Kings. Meanwhile, the Bucks laid an egg in Golden State and have been mediocre on the road all season.

Ultimately, I’m backing the Lakers to cover the short spread. I think they will play with more desperation as the 10 seed trying to make the playoffs. The Bucks have struggled in LA in recent years and their offense looked out of sync vs the Warriors. If LeBron plays, I like the Lakers’ chances of winning outright as home underdogs in a high-scoring affair.

The over also looks appealing based on the star power and offensive potential in this matchup. Both teams are more than capable of putting up 120+ points if they get rolling. I’ll take the over 232.5 unless LeBron is ruled out.

MIL-LA Best Bets:

• Lakers +2.5 (-110)
• Over 232.5 points (-105)

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The post Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Odds & Player Props (Mar. 8) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.